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Shopify Inc.SHOP.TOBUY ON WEAKNESSOct 16, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
Has never owned. 200-day MA just started to roll over, and that's not positive. Price now below 200-day MA. It's always been pricey (9x forward price-to-sales). Tech and general market have been up, but this name's down 4.3% over 12 months. Catering to small-middle businesses makes it riskier vis-a-vis the economy.
If you're already in it, watch to see if it breaks recent lows of support. So many other names out there with much better valuations.
Still some runway. Tarred with the software brush. A proud Canadian all-star. Buy in 3 tranches: here, ~$105, and ~$100 (that would indicate it's getting to the bottom). If you own now, add on weakness as outlined.
Note: Not in his fund, but in some separately managed accounts.
Right here, right now is a good entry point for a long-term hold. Part of the AI witch-hunt trade. Competitive moat won't be eroded by agentic AI. People don't understand that writing code is not "one and done", not to mention cybersecurity concerns and complex payment systems.
Increasingly catering to larger customers. Continues to innovate and to add value to legacy markets.
High-priced stock, moves around. Big piece of the Canadian index, so an important stock for institutional investors. Nothing else like it in Canada, so it'll get lots of attention. RSI improving for last 18 months. Trading better than 91% of companies in the S&P. In general, earnings estimates being revised higher.
Coming up on old highs from 2021, so may be a bit of technical resistance. Growth stock. Right now, he's leaning more toward cyclical companies. But nothing about SHOP tells him it's not worth owning.