PotashCorp (POT.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

PotashCorp (POT.TO)

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WAIT

Potash Corp. He thinks it is very richly priced, should buy it when it is very low around low 40's, problems because it is a very cyclical business, they wouldn't buy at this time.

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BUY

Couldn’t find a better long term play than this as they have 400 years of potash. Not a bad entry level. He buys below $50. Fertilizer inventory levels are low. Countries with large populations (China and India) are capable of feeding them in terms of dollars. Fertilizers have a big long run ahead of them.

WAIT

This is one that you want to buy some time in June. Recently broke down through a key support level.

BUY

Great company but agriculture is still in a stage where farmers start to plant a lot. Long term growth is fantastic. Owns Agrium (AGU-T) instead.

BUY

A top analyst just upgraded this as he sees better pricing for the commodity and better upside in the stock. Especially higher demand in India. Sees good upside.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Long term outlook for agriculture and potash is very strong. Recently had a significant pull back. Long-life asset. Looks interesting here. Be patient when accumulating.

COMMENT

Doesn’t think it would ever get taken over now unless they were in distress. The fertilizers are anything but in distress.

TOP PICK

Fallen almost 20% from where it was recently, but the story is still in place. Reported to have 200 years of reserves in the ground. Stock is down. Demand is going to be steady and is going to grow from Asia. There is a lot of talk about world food shortages, which means demand for fertilizers and agricultural products can only increase.

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BUY

Going forward, fertilizer companies will do very well over the long term. Agricultural needs are not going to let up any time soon.

BUY

Started buying at the start of the credit crisis and are still adding for new clients. Valuation is quite reasonable. Is looking for some strong earnings growth over the next couple of years. It’s a volatile, cyclical business. 400 years of reserves of potash.

BUY

Very good long-term agricultural play. Expanding their capacity from over 11.2 million tons to over 17 million in the next 5 years. Expect fertilizer consumption will increase as meat consumption increases. She has a larger weighting in Agrium (AGU-T).

BUY

Likes this stock as well as fertilizer stocks. Stock is in about a month of consolidation. Just reported great numbers. Looking at planting season numbers and corn prices, she thinks farmers are wealthier than last year and there should be great demand coming on.

COMMENT

Likes the agricultural space. His favourite would be Allana Potash (AAA-X), a junior Ethiopian play, which has great grades and an equivalent value based on some of the larger cap companies that are much higher.

WEAK BUY

Likes the name. A lot of resource stocks are vulnerable to a slow down in China, but POT is in a pretty good state. Earnings have caught back up with it. There is nothing in the agri space that he is passionate on.

WATCH

Agricultural sector has sort of rolled over in the last few months. All the stocks have had a consolidation period, which is normal. In the next 2 months in North America, the crops go in and we’ll know how much and which ones that will apply to this company.

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PotashCorp (POT.TO)