Parkland Fuel Corp (PKI.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Parkland Fuel Corp (PKI.TO)

39.84

-0.14 (0.35%)

as of Nov 4, 2025, 9:00:00 pm Market Open.

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A great Canadian story. Managerment has executed on everything. They've been pushing into the US and Caribbean, buying asset, though he can't tell how that will effect their next report. They've been buying assets like gas stations that came with refineries. That's great because it creates vertical integration, but it comes with a crack spread, which creates positivity. So analysts built that into their estimates and the stock got a little ahead of themselves. He's excited to see how tomorrow's report is. He may buy. They've been shrewd buyers. A long-term buy.

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BUY

They lowered their estimates due to weakening crack spreads due to Alberta's output reductions. Balance sheet is not bad. Still modeling 35% EPS growth. Cheap at 12.6 times 2020 earnings. They are a growth by acquisition.

DON'T BUY

The pullback in the stock price might be related to the spreads in their business. She is not looking at this due to the unpredictability of earnings.

DON'T BUY

They have done a good job of operating the business over time. Dividend growth has been slow. He prefers ATD.B-T.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 10/18, Down 9%) Added more on the way down. A core holding. Sold off because last quarter wasn't great. Concern about the refining unit. Pretty good bounce off the bottom. Still volatility on the refinery side, but the other 90% of the company is executing extremely well. True great Canadian growth company, so no reason to abandon it here.

HOLD

He holds a large position in this and acquired it when they were in disfavor with the market a couple of years ago. Their refinery has been generating great cash flow and a recent Caribbean acquisition is starting to create good synergies in terms of buying power. They are good operators. There is still a lot of good growth opportunities. Analysts have been so bullish on them, that it has been difficult for them to meet the targets -- he hopes the analysts will be a little more conservative and let them exceed targets for a while.

HOLD

Meteoric run from buying cast-off assets, which bolstered earnings and cash flow. Selloff is just markets getting jittery and realizing gains on winners. Nothing broken. Consolidators and operators of gas stations are good business, good ROE. You can be a comfortable long-term owner. His preference is Alimentation Couche-Tard.

BUY

It is not necessarily as link to the price of oil as are typical energy producers. This is part of the energy index and because it is part of the energy group it has not performed as it should The management has done an exceptional job. As the company has grown the price has not gone up as fast as some of the others. He likes the diversification and what they are doing.

COMMENT

They could be more generous with their yield, given their expansion. Over the next few years they likely will. They're paying down debt now. They have a refinery, which is a plus.

BUY

Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.

DON'T BUY

He does not favour Canadian stocks right now, based on their high valuations. This is under pressure now for no single reason. He expects they are weak on growth prospects. He expects the stock could drop to $35.55 and $28.50 if the growth story is broken.

TOP PICK

They own the entire supply chain. They are making money on the crack spread buying cheap crude and putting in their refineries and distributing through their network. Yield of 2.7%.

TOP PICK

They've done a great job expanding, including a big, very recent purchase in the Caribbean. They can go global. It's a steady business and well-managed. (2.5% dividend yield, Analysts' price target: $50.43)

BUY

Sold out a couple of years ago, and he regrets that. Into propane, diesel fuel, distribution. Yield is OK, just under 3%. Fully priced right now. Good company if you’re buying for the long term. In a niche that hasn’t been affected by oil price.

DON'T BUY

He owned this for a long time but sold out as its price rose. His worry is that, with all the acquisitions they made, their debt has become huge. A slowdown, or a rise in interest rates could be very difficult for them. The market is ignoring this for now, partially because Parkland has made interesting acquisitions, such as a refinery, which came with Chevron’s retail operations. They buy Canadian oil at a discount, refine it and sell the gasoline at world price. The margin is excellent at this time. World oil price is at 4 year highs, but that might not last.

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Parkland Fuel Corp (PKI.TO)