
NASDAQ:NVDA
Beat yesterday, margins guided lower. Significant ramp in Blackwell chips. Before yesterday, reasonably priced PEG ratio; that will change as they up their numbers. Not a slam dunk, but still reasonable valuation for growth.
Selling off today because of Trump's extra 10% threatened for China. He had trimmed at highs, he's holding the rest, stock still works from here.
It feels like NVDA is running in place, up 5% since August 28, 2024 earnings. Today's report will be the first time since mid-2022 when the stock has been negative since its prior report. In options, you're getting more of a premium for the puts vs. the calls. He doesn't know if this is the right play. NVDA now is consolidating and expects shares to pingpong between $115 and $145.
There's a lot riding on the print (earnings after the close) today. Shares are down 17% since the DeepSeek news. Now, we're hearing export controls. However, the hyperscalers have not changed their capex spending on AI ; DeepSeek had no real impact, including Microsoft and Meta and Amazon. We need to hear from NVDA $38 billion in revenue and guide $2-3 billion over and above, and hear about insatiable demand. He expects a strong print.
It better! This name is the poster child for the AI revolution, and will reflect demand in that whole area. He's not that concerned about NVDA. Its product is completely sold out for the next 12 months. He shaved a bit when it was up around $140-145, and he bought some just recently. His position is now 5-6%.
Well-known to sandbag earnings and revenue. The most important part will be its forward guidance on demand for GPUs, the Hopper, and Blackwell chips. It's a big day.
Loves this stock. Coincidence that it's also reporting today. Thinks revenue will be slightly above what was guided. Invested in so many businesses from having made so much money. GPUs, professional visualization, automated driving, AI deployment and data centres. 12-month target of $175. Yield is 0.03%.
(Analysts’ price target is $174.90)He thinks NVDA will move 10% to the upside, and yes this is a pivotal moment. It's hard to see demand falling off. It trades at 30x forward PE with net income growth and EPS growth over 100% YOY, with forward projections up 50%. At 30x forward PE and that projection, NVDA is very attractive. True, stocks can always go done, and in the past quarters, NVDA announces fabulous earnings and the stock has gone down. So, how NVDA trades tomorrow and Friday doesn't matter. Given this valuation and insatiable demand, he'll take that 10% higher.
Sold off on DeepSeek news. He owns TSM instead. Because it designs chips, NVDA is more of a software company than TSM. His worry is that hyperscalers are looking to design their own chips. Rich valuation compared to cashflow.
Buying back tons of stock, which helps drive earnings growth. If your heart's set on it, be patient, wait for a pullback, don't chase.
He bought more today on the dip. Trades at 24x earnings, expecting that to grow 50% this year. The growth rate will one day drop off, but now now. It boasted a triple beat and remains the leader of semis.