
TSE:NTR
Both are ones you could own, but which one now? BIP.UN has robust, organic growth, inflation-linked cashflows, just announced an acquisition that looks accretive. BIP.UN is one of the 10 stocks in Canada that you need to own; it's at levels that are being ignored, so you could buy right now.
NTR doesn't have the same growth rate, it actually looks negative. NTR will be a buy at some point, but you can wait for lower levels.
Fertilizer is a cyclical business, and in the past few weeks prices have dropped dramatically, with the drop being blamed on recession fears but also on farmers' budgets, which are being squeezed on all sides.
This has resulted in a couple of broker downgrades on the stock, and some panicked selling.
At 7X earnings the stock reflects at least some of this concern.
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It has traded as high as $140 and is good to buy at today's price. However use caution if it goes below $94 or $93. The summer is a better time since during the growing season more fertilizer is needed. There are concerns around the order levels because prices are up but it should be fine.
It's been beaten down lately, which is why he likes it. A slowing economy will mean bumps for this stock, but long-term the world's population will keep growing. Emerging markets want more meat in their diet, so crop-growing needs to be more efficient. Hence, fertilizer. NTR is globally diversified and owns the whole chain--from extraction from the ground to retail. Can buy and hold this for 5-15 years.
(Analysts’ price target is $119.58)