
TSE:MG
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
Magna International (MG-T) has had a tumultuous journey, with heavy investments in electric vehicles (EVs) in 2021 not yielding the expected demand, resulting in significant challenges and the impact of tariffs. However, the company has managed to address its issues with Chinese OEMs and is currently experiencing a notable market share increase in smart door handles and driverless systems. Recent financial results have surprised analysts positively, indicating a strong recovery, although concerns over the continuity of this momentum exist due to potential headwinds from the CUSMA agreement. The auto supply chain’s complexities suggest that investors should assess the cyclical nature of the industry carefully while considering ownership of the stock, especially as it could face further volatility tied to economic conditions and tariff discussions.
Likes the auto sector. Traded between 9X earnings and 10X for years and everyone forgot that auto-parts companies are growth companies. This is probably one of the premier auto-parts companies in the world. Believes it is going to grow at a faster rate than the OEMs. The OEM growth rate is probably a lot higher than it has been in past years because of the under consumption of autos and their natural replacement cycle.
Which auto-parts maker would you put your money on and why? His choice would be Magna (MG-T) although the stock has done extremely well. Latest results show the European margins better than had been anticipated so their restructuring efforts are obviously starting to pay dividends. There is still very good leverage. The margin was something like 3.2% and their longer-term goal is to get it to 4%-5% over the next 2-3 years. That would offer a lot of leverage on earnings. Good upside on a 2-three-year basis. Target shorter term is $90.
Thinks this definitely gets to $90. This is cyclical, so you don’t get a really high multiple. It is around 11X earnings. He expects that he will be out of this. 2 years from now. Sometime between then and now, it will get peaky and get ahead of itself. Great holding because you are not tied to any one carmaker.
This one definitely has a future. We are at that sweet spot right now where auto sales in North America are growing. Europe is starting to catch on too. These companies have gone parabolic in the last 6 months and are probably due for a pullback. If you own, it is always safe to take a little bit of money off the table. The long term story is still in play.
A lot of people are really optimistic about the auto cycle and this is a big player. Trading at a pretty reasonable valuation. Stocks that have had big moves like this one are going to be susceptible to profit taking, particularly when you get closer to the end of the year. He avoids the car industry because it is usually capital intensive and highly cyclical. You want to Buy when you are afraid they are going to go broke and Sell when they are selling 16 million cars a year as they are doing now.