Stock price when the opinion was issued
Don't yet know how things are going to shake out. Rhetoric is at an all-time high. Short term, it's impacting our economy because the US is our largest trading partner. Reality is that there's a lot of value-added auto manufacturing in both Canada and US; the 2 countries are inextricably linked. Tariffs will be punitive for both Canada and the US.
Hope is not an investment strategy, but we have to hope that rational heads can prevail so that there continues to be a steady flow of goods across our borders.
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Which auto-parts maker would you put your money on and why? His choice would be Magna (MG-T) although the stock has done extremely well. Latest results show the European margins better than had been anticipated so their restructuring efforts are obviously starting to pay dividends. There is still very good leverage. The margin was something like 3.2% and their longer-term goal is to get it to 4%-5% over the next 2-3 years. That would offer a lot of leverage on earnings. Good upside on a 2-three-year basis. Target shorter term is $90.