
TSE:MG
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
Magna International (MG-T) has had a tumultuous journey, with heavy investments in electric vehicles (EVs) in 2021 not yielding the expected demand, resulting in significant challenges and the impact of tariffs. However, the company has managed to address its issues with Chinese OEMs and is currently experiencing a notable market share increase in smart door handles and driverless systems. Recent financial results have surprised analysts positively, indicating a strong recovery, although concerns over the continuity of this momentum exist due to potential headwinds from the CUSMA agreement. The auto supply chain’s complexities suggest that investors should assess the cyclical nature of the industry carefully while considering ownership of the stock, especially as it could face further volatility tied to economic conditions and tariff discussions.
Somewhat controversial because people are convinced the auto cycle is turning down. However, if you are convinced that Apple or anyone else is going to get into the business, someone still has to make the physicals which is where this company comes in. 13% trailing free cash flow payout. Has an attractive .17 to EBITDA growth rate. Earnings are expected to grow 13% both this year and next. 21% ROE. Dividend yield of 2.55%.
He is on the fence with this. Their last quarter was really strong. They had improving margins in a lot of their business lines. From a technical perspective, it is right at the point where it could be a buying opportunity. On the other side, pundits are saying the auto industry is at its full capacity, and will probably be going down. This is a really well run company, and have proven that they can weather storms, and make changes to their business to make it through tougher environments.
Looking at the macro view, auto sales in the US are trudging along at about 17 or 18 million, which is at about the high. A lot of people thought that was a peak and we were going to see a decline, but that is not happening. The auto parts companies have been down, which reflects the fear that auto sales will slow. If you own, he would hold onto this until you see if US car sales sustain themselves.
Very cheap, but it just can’t get a break. Folks feels there is peak auto out there, and are very concerned. Last quarter they rose their guidance from the high 7’s to the high 8’s. He models that they can grow their EPS 16% each year over the next couple of years on 9% revenue growth. They are still doing a buyback. Very strong balance sheet. Cheaper than their peers, and the whole segment is very cheap. 2.5% dividend yield.
This has 2 periods of seasonal strength. From now until the 1st week in January and during the auto buying season from March and April into May. Technically this has established an upward trend. It is encouraging that technicals are starting to come around just at a time when seasonality starts turning positive.
Like many auto names, it has really seen its share price decimated over the last 1-1.5 years. In this space, this would be his favourite company. In 2015, auto sales peaked and since then the entire space has seen some downside. However, at the current valuations of 8X PE, it is pricing in a fairly deep recession. Although he is negative on global growth, everything has a value that it makes sense to own it at, and this one makes sense to him. Over the next couple of years, he could see 10%-15% upside. Dividend yield of 2.25%.