
TSE:MG
This summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.
Magna International (MG-T) has faced challenges since its heavy investment in electric vehicles in 2021, largely due to unmet demand and the negative effects of tariffs. However, the company has taken significant steps to address these issues, especially in its partnerships with Chinese OEMs, leading to a recovery in market share within innovative fields like smart door handles and driverless technology. Recently, the company reported a strong quarterly performance that exceeded market expectations, highlighting its resilience amid headwinds from CUSMA and ongoing complexities in auto supply chains. The automotive sector, which has been under pressure from tariffs, is showing renewed vigor as investors begin to return, signaling a potential recovery for stocks in this space.
Somewhat controversial because people are convinced the auto cycle is turning down. However, if you are convinced that Apple or anyone else is going to get into the business, someone still has to make the physicals which is where this company comes in. 13% trailing free cash flow payout. Has an attractive .17 to EBITDA growth rate. Earnings are expected to grow 13% both this year and next. 21% ROE. Dividend yield of 2.55%.
He is on the fence with this. Their last quarter was really strong. They had improving margins in a lot of their business lines. From a technical perspective, it is right at the point where it could be a buying opportunity. On the other side, pundits are saying the auto industry is at its full capacity, and will probably be going down. This is a really well run company, and have proven that they can weather storms, and make changes to their business to make it through tougher environments.
Looking at the macro view, auto sales in the US are trudging along at about 17 or 18 million, which is at about the high. A lot of people thought that was a peak and we were going to see a decline, but that is not happening. The auto parts companies have been down, which reflects the fear that auto sales will slow. If you own, he would hold onto this until you see if US car sales sustain themselves.
Very cheap, but it just can’t get a break. Folks feels there is peak auto out there, and are very concerned. Last quarter they rose their guidance from the high 7’s to the high 8’s. He models that they can grow their EPS 16% each year over the next couple of years on 9% revenue growth. They are still doing a buyback. Very strong balance sheet. Cheaper than their peers, and the whole segment is very cheap. 2.5% dividend yield.
This has 2 periods of seasonal strength. From now until the 1st week in January and during the auto buying season from March and April into May. Technically this has established an upward trend. It is encouraging that technicals are starting to come around just at a time when seasonality starts turning positive.
Like many auto names, it has really seen its share price decimated over the last 1-1.5 years. In this space, this would be his favourite company. In 2015, auto sales peaked and since then the entire space has seen some downside. However, at the current valuations of 8X PE, it is pricing in a fairly deep recession. Although he is negative on global growth, everything has a value that it makes sense to own it at, and this one makes sense to him. Over the next couple of years, he could see 10%-15% upside. Dividend yield of 2.25%.