
NASDAQ:GOOG
On average, they have cash, massive cash flow and good growth. On advantage the Mag 7 has is that they have the capacity to spend billions on R&D. GOOG, for example, spends $40B annually. Smaller companies just do not have this advantage. The group would likely grow faster if they were allowed to do acquisitions. They will be continue to be closely tied to the overall economy, and are not immune to declines (i.e 2022). But we think they have several years of growth, if not more, ahead of them.
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Trading at a market multiple, but growing faster than the market. After AI concerns. GOOG got its act together and are now ahead in AI. Hugely profitable and innovative. Are building recurring revenues. He loves using their Gemini AI. It will come down to consumer applications.
New highs recently. 200-day MA is moving higher, so is the 200-week. Clear trend of higher highs and higher lows. Still not expensive. Clear leader in Search, and other areas of its ecosystem make it a powerful company. 17% EPS growth at only 22-23x PE, so PEG ratio fairly attractive.
Good name to continue to own in the mega-cap tech space, as it's a space you have to be careful in.
Has done very well, but still has some runway left. He targets $215. GOOG poised to take the lead from Open AI and Microsoft, mainly due to the launch of Gemini 2.0, which solidifies their leadership in search and AI. They won't lose much market share in search now with Gemini 2.0. It remains undervalued compared to peers.
(Analysts’ price target is $211.27)If its quantum computing chip ever comes to fruition in the next 5-10 years, then this is a stock you want to own. He owns MSFT, and it's also involved in quantum computing. Other names to think about are AMZN, IBM, Atos out of Europe, and Toshiba from Japan.
If you double your money, do the smart thing and sell half. These tech stocks are 3x riskier than the market if interest rates go up. It's about managing risk in your portfolio.
We remain highly confident in GOOG's outlook.
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You have to own the Mag 7, especially if trading at a reasonable price. Top priority is AI spending and driving cost efficiencies. Q3 beat on top and bottom. Trying to maintain dominance in Search advertising. Sees 12% EPS growth from 2024-26.
But trading at a higher multiple of 19x 2026 earnings. PEG is high, but not obscene for a quality name. Way better than COST or HD. You could buy here and still make money, but he'd rather buy cheaper. Try to get it around 15-16x PE, ~$178. January will probably see a regression to the mean.
It's had a nice move the past week, but is catching up to the group. It remains the leading search engine. The regulatory overhang this year and gen AI's potential competition in search were headwinds. But it's holding in well. GOOG is adding AI in their search, so they're not standing still. The regulatory will remain an overhang though, but it will be a long process. GOOG announced a quantum computing chip while Waymo and YouTube are doing well. The cloud business is up 35% year over year. The sum of the parts could be worth more than what it's trading for.
(Analysts’ price target is $210.37)
Both are in his top 5 holdings, so he'd pick both. If he had to choose one, he'd pick GOOG, mainly because it's cheaper. Silicon Valley's known about DeepSeek for a while, and BABA has an even better widget. You're going to see more innovation, especially on the software side.