Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

121.20

-1.48 (1.21%)

as of Sep 30, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

643 watching

COMMENT

Valuations are too high among the rails, so he doesn't own any. But strong dividend growth and balance sheets. Hold, if you own. Maybe buy on a pullback.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 12%) Pure pre-growth. It will go sideways along $300 for a while after bouncing since the start oft he year. It may rise during the summer, but will fall back to current levels.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 14%) The rails both offer upside, though he owns neither now.

BUY

The rails are stickhandling through the economy very well. Uncertainties include China refusing some crops. This is an economy stock, and the economy is chugging along at 2%. Oil shipments out of Alberta should continue for a while. Efficiencies in new track laid continue to creep into the system. The rails will do well as long as the economy does.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 24/18, Up 15%) With a large movement of commodities in North America, this has done well. There is a big push in Canada to haul oil by rail for the next couple of years.

DON'T BUY

CP vs. CN He feels the same way about both rails (see his CP comments). CP has very good exposure to grain. It will benefit from more Alberta oil shipments. Done well reducing expenses, but both rails are selling at premium multiples, too high for him. He'd be cautious stepping into either today.

WEAK BUY

CNR-T vs. CP-T It depends on your stage of life. CNR-T is more diversified. CP-T is more Canadian concentrated. He would go with CNR-T because of this. They should do better this year. If the economy got rougher, CP-T would drop off more.

TOP PICK

If you have a pro-growth movement in markets going forward, you have to have an investment like this. They are at the core of this theme. $280 will be its next move. It has really good support at $240. It is trading at a discount to its forward PE. Everything is pointing in the right direction for this. Seasonality for rails kicks in right now. (Analysts’ price target is $300.94)

COMMENT

He owns CNR-T instead. He likes their ownership and management and it has a good US footprint. CP-T has too big of a commodity exposure for him. He likes the outlook for railways overall.

BUY

Railroads. CNR-T vs. CP-T. Railroads are a great industry. A duopoly in Canada. CP-T is the more profitable operator and he favours it.

TOP PICK

Quality name that has gone on sale. Q3 was very strong with improvising efficiencies. They are doing a buy back. Modeling 16% growth with a name trading at 14 times 2019 earnings. If the economy is fine, which it is their base case, this is a name you want to be buying now. (Analysts’ price target is $312.47)

BUY

CP vs. CN It's as good as the Canadian economy. Ottawa's policies haven't been kind to our economy. CP vs. CN depends on their pricing at a given time. CN has a better network across North America, whereas CP is more Canadian. Both are good railroads.

BUY

CP vs. CN He likes and owns both. You're good to own either. Crude by rail is a tailwind. CP: great price momentum and valuation; it ranks in the top 25% of all stocks for him. CN: Almost the same, also in the top 25% and scores slightly better than CP.

BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T.. They will trade in tandem. CNR has $100 as an entry point. CP-T should be bought at $250 or $225. There will be a consolidation period for a couple of months so you can pick away at the names. CP-T has taken over leadership in terms of relative performance.

COMMENT

CN-T or CP-T? He owns CN and CSX in the U.S. He likes CN for its north-south traffic to the States--it's safer. CP is east-west (more Canadian). CN will benefit from shipping out Alberta oil to California. It costs $12 per barrel to ship it, but the low WCS cost makes it still worth it.

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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)