Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

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121.61

+0.70 (0.58%)

as of Jun 18, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

639 watching

Investor Insights

Jun 18, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 28 opinions in the last 12 months.

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T) has been the subject of mixed reviews among analysts, with some viewing it as a strong long-term hold due to its unique North American footprint and benefits from recent acquisitions, particularly its merger with Kansas City Southern (KSU). Many experts suggest that while the stock has seen some recent positive momentum following its breakout above $117, it remains vulnerable to fluctuations related to trade tariffs and a potential economic downturn impacting freight volumes. The current economic environment has brought a freight recession, causing some analysts to advise caution and recommend waiting for a pullback before investing. Despite these concerns, several reviews highlight the company's efficiency improvements from AI and a generally positive growth outlook, although they warn that the market context remains uncertain. Overall, the recurring theme is a positive long-term sentiment tempered by short-term concerns regarding trade policies and economic conditions.

Consensus

Hold

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

CNR

BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He likes the rails. There is no possibility of another national rail network in the US or Canada. He thinks CP-T has more levers to pull to offset volume declines in 2020. They have more projects they can do to offset mining sector headwinds.

BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. CP-T was at $220 in 2014 and broke out from there last year. It consolidated for 5 years. This is a great way to participate in economic growth.

BUY

CP vs. CN Own both, but he prefers the cheaper CP. Same growth rate; he sees 10% EPS growth. Crude by rail will extend to 10 years and not stop soon. CP's balance sheet is weaker, though. CN trades at 18x PE, CP and 15.6x.

BUY

Impact of pipelines? Has done very well. Rails are seasonal now to April. The pipeline impact won't be immediate, but long-term, when the pipelines are nearly completed. CP is in an uptrend now. He likes CP.

COMMENT

They mostly run east-west and are commodity-oriented. So, if oil shipping declines, so will CP's earnings. The rails are a bet on the Canadian economy continuing to do well and we don't fall into recession. But if markets drop 20-40% and the economy tanks, so will rails fall.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 19/18, Up 36%) They had very good looking growth back then. The multiples still look like pretty good value. If recent manufacturing weakness does not spill into the full economy you could buy here as we..

COMMENT

She owns CN instead, because it's the best rail in the industry. The rails have had a nice lift this year. CP has been investing in capacity this year. The rails will continue to benefit from crude-by-rail.

BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He owns CP-T and not CNR-T although both are excellent. He prefers Canadian rails to US rails. Both just reported modest volume headwinds but CNR-T had to cut their guidance and CP-T did not. The cuts are transitory in nature for both but over the next couple of years CP-T is positioned better to navigate through these volume headwinds.

BUY

CNR-T vs. CP-T. He is optimistic with respect to the rails. You get about 3/4ths of your lift when the industry picks up. CNR-T is slightly better than CP-T but the difference is not massive.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 13/19, Down 7%) This year, it had an uptrend, then has consolidated since June. There's more downside to come. We are testing support levels now. He still likes it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 13%) He is getting indications that it is starting to run out of gas and he sold it in his fund. It is not an active candidate for purchase.

BUY

CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.

HOLD

If the economy slows, their revenues will drop. They are a high valuation right now. Over the long term it will be okay, but you will not receive a giant return -- more of a grind out story.

COMMENT

In light of potential trade wars, could this rail come down? Both of our rails are great moat businesses and incredibly well run. They are cyclical and are capital intensive businesses. If you look at the long term, their maintenance capital is higher than they book for depreciation, so their earnings quality is lower. Lower commodities would impact the bottom line. They are highly owned by US shareholders.

HOLD

He owns CNR-T over CP-T and CSX-Q in the US. CP-T is more grain and resource orientated -- East to West. CNR-T has more exposure to the US markets. He would hold if you own and wait for a pullback to buy more.

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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)