TSE:CP

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

124.52
+1.21 (0.98%)
as of Jul 31, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
640 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 31, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.

Experts generally view Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T) as a solid long-term investment, though opinions on timing for entry vary. Many see potential growth following the Kansas City Southern (KSU) acquisition, which strengthens CP's network across Canada, the US, and Mexico. However, concerns about cyclical recession and tariff impacts from trade negotiations linger, creating uncertainty around short-term performance. Analysts' price targets suggest some upside potential, with estimates around $120 to $132. Overall, CP's robust positioning in the rail industry and operational efficiencies are likely to benefit it long-term, although some analysts prefer Canadian National Railway (CNR) based on valuation metrics and dividend yields. Investors are encouraged to consider the market environment and potential pullbacks before making any purchase decisions.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
CNR,CP
BUY

He has CNR-T. The rail business is great. They have pretty good pricing power. It is not a business that can be duplicated. It is cheaper and more environmentally friendly to ship things by rail.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 27/19, Up 18%) Kansas City Southern and CP have both come out of multi-year consolidations and will benefit from a stronger economy and pick-up in trade.
BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He likes the rails. There is no possibility of another national rail network in the US or Canada. He thinks CP-T has more levers to pull to offset volume declines in 2020. They have more projects they can do to offset mining sector headwinds.

BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. CP-T was at $220 in 2014 and broke out from there last year. It consolidated for 5 years. This is a great way to participate in economic growth.

BUY

CP vs. CN Own both, but he prefers the cheaper CP. Same growth rate; he sees 10% EPS growth. Crude by rail will extend to 10 years and not stop soon. CP's balance sheet is weaker, though. CN trades at 18x PE, CP and 15.6x.

BUY
Impact of pipelines? Has done very well. Rails are seasonal now to April. The pipeline impact won't be immediate, but long-term, when the pipelines are nearly completed. CP is in an uptrend now. He likes CP.
COMMENT
They mostly run east-west and are commodity-oriented. So, if oil shipping declines, so will CP's earnings. The rails are a bet on the Canadian economy continuing to do well and we don't fall into recession. But if markets drop 20-40% and the economy tanks, so will rails fall.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 19/18, Up 36%) They had very good looking growth back then. The multiples still look like pretty good value. If recent manufacturing weakness does not spill into the full economy you could buy here as we..
COMMENT
She owns CN instead, because it's the best rail in the industry. The rails have had a nice lift this year. CP has been investing in capacity this year. The rails will continue to benefit from crude-by-rail.
BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He owns CP-T and not CNR-T although both are excellent. He prefers Canadian rails to US rails. Both just reported modest volume headwinds but CNR-T had to cut their guidance and CP-T did not. The cuts are transitory in nature for both but over the next couple of years CP-T is positioned better to navigate through these volume headwinds.

BUY

CNR-T vs. CP-T. He is optimistic with respect to the rails. You get about 3/4ths of your lift when the industry picks up. CNR-T is slightly better than CP-T but the difference is not massive.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 13/19, Down 7%) This year, it had an uptrend, then has consolidated since June. There's more downside to come. We are testing support levels now. He still likes it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 13%) He is getting indications that it is starting to run out of gas and he sold it in his fund. It is not an active candidate for purchase.
BUY

CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.

HOLD
If the economy slows, their revenues will drop. They are a high valuation right now. Over the long term it will be okay, but you will not receive a giant return -- more of a grind out story.
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