
TSE:CNQ
His “Reduce” support line is $47 and his “Sell” line is $44.90. Chart shows a nice upward trend. All the moving averages are running up parallel. There was a little bit of consolidation around the beginning of May, and broke out to the upside in the beginning of June. He can see this continuing to go up.
On their investor day, it was driven home that the company is now in a position where they are going to be generating a tremendous amount of free cash flow, because the assets that they have are very long life, low decline, and have a wide variety of assets. Also, has been a very sharp increase in dividend payments they have been making. Yield of 1.88%. Large royalty portfolio could be valued at PrairieSky levels.
He likes this. Oil companies like this have had some pretty good quarters. It now has a habit of kicking money back to investors with share buybacks and dividends. Also, has some great property. Good management. Good balance sheet. The one thing that could be coming up with this is the royalty trust. (See Top Picks.)
Oil is at $100 a barrel, which he doesn’t understand as the world is swimming in oil. Looking at a company like this and when the commodity is stretched, he wants to make sure the company has a lot more going for it because he doesn’t really like the underlying commodity. The company is doing some good things and he feels the stock price is a little stretched here. There are better things to buy if you are looking at the oil patch and looking for a bigger dividend.