
TSE:CNQ
Just became a dividend aristocrat, with 25 consecutive years of dividend increases. Benefiting from Trans Mountain. Price has come back because oil prices have fallen. To get stock back to all-time high of $55-56, need oil to return to $80-85. Doesn't really matter, as it will continue to raise the dividend and buy back stock. Athabasca acquisition was brilliant.
Own for the dividend and dividend growth, anything on top is icing on the cake. Loves it.
Wonderful company. As a strong operator, it doesn't get much better. Consolidating footprint in oil sands, as US companies are exiting. Deals are massively accretive, making it more of a cashflow compounder. Long resource life. Cashflow juggernaut, great business, undervalued.
Pulled back pretty hard over the last week, so now is the time to look. Oversupply into 2025 will bring some weakness. Lots of options to create value. Wouldn't own if oil dropped to $70 or below.
Oil prices weak recently, generally gets a little firmer coming into winter. Lots of Middle East conflict. US energy producers in general have performed much worse than Canadian, partly because of debate on whether shale can sustain production.
Longer term, the sector is attractive and these companies will generate a ton of cash and strong dividend growth. Near-term technical questions. He'd love to see price of oil stabilize. It has in last couple of days, but that's geopolitically driven.
Does not own shares in the business. Natural resource stocks are not asset light - require lots of capital. Also, company is a price "taker" - no control. Oil and gas is also a commodity which makes it hard to determine outlook. In summary, very hard to determine outlook of business - not good for investors. Would rather a high quality business that is predictable.
Management is terrific. Financially very sound. One of the lowest break evens (mid-$40s) of all peers. Strong cashflow, 100% free cashflow being returned to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. Long-life assets, no need to drill like crazy. Yield is 4.7%.
Wonderful Canadian company. Energy is an important part of a diversified portfolio. Energy transition to renewables is going to take a lot longer than we think.
(Note short timeframe.) Giant cashflow generator, returning cash to stakeholders, buying back shares. Over next 5 years, dividends and multiples and earnings will all double. Unique long-life assets, doesn't need to put new capital into the ground. Opportunity with increased means to get product out of Canada.
Likes it. Well-run company. Wait until tax-loss selling ends in December. Seasonality for energy runs December-May, unlike the price of gas suddenly recovers. Buy on weakness for the long-term.