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TSE:CM
This summary was created by AI, based on 18 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts regard Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) as a well-positioned bank benefiting from infrastructure and energy development in Canada, with notable financial metrics including a 16% return on equity (ROE) and a supportive dividend yield of around 2.8% to 3.0%. While some analysts recommend a cautious approach due to Canadian economic fragility and significant exposure to residential mortgages, others maintain a bullish outlook based on the bank's strengthening cash reserves and share buyback initiatives. There is concern about the overall valuation of the Canadian banking sector, which appears to be trading at record highs. Despite the mixed signals, CM is generally deemed a better value compared to its peers, with analysts seeing modest upside potential based on current earnings multiples and strategic partnerships to support growth.
All of the interest sensitives have been under pressure the last couple of months with rates rising.
He favours TD. Tightly regulated oligopoly, and a levered play on the growth of the Canadian, and increasingly US, economy. Surplus of excess capital. 10x earnings. Dominant personal and commercial banking franchise. Good-sized banking presence in the US. Shares are at a discount to average. Close to 5% yield, growing at 8% compound over 10 years.
Valuation and yield of SLF are similar to TD. But TD's competitive position in its industry is more advantageous than SLF.
Compared to CM, TD is more of a scale player with a stronger franchise on both sides of the border on its core banking business.
Canadian banks are reasonably priced, but still headwinds on loan losses. He likes the one with the best balance sheet, TD. He also likes CM, with its outsized dividend yield and low valuation. BMO is OK.
For the heavy lifting in your portfolio, he'd look instead at insurance companies with similar yields and more growth over the next 1-2 years.
Around 65% of CBIC's loans have exposure to real estate, with 55% consumer and 10% commercial. CIBC's higher exposure to real estate does make it relatively riskier, and it is one of the smaller banks. Still, its valuation of less than 8X earnings reflects some, or even all, of this risk. We would still be comfortable owning the stock, but until recession fears go away or rates peak it may not do much.
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You can hold it for income. Dividend is safe for sure. Less foreign exposure, so this will benefit them in the short term. Canadian assets continue to grow. Best quarterly results of all the banks. Mortgage book and credit cards could come under pressure. He prefers other banks, based on history with CM. Pretty compelling yield of 6.2%.
As interest rates have gone up, yield stocks have been pushed down considerably. Sizeable mortgage exposure, so provisions for credit losses are attracting attention. Attractive here. Company is not going away. Expense ratio going down. Yield is 6.7%.