TSE:CM

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM.TO)

166.97
+3.44 (2.10%)
as of Jul 10, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
1039 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 11, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 19 opinions in the last 12 months.

The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) has received mixed opinions from analysts regarding its performance and valuation. Many experts highlight its strong earnings growth, driven by significant increases in US-based business, and impressive return on equity, although concerns exist regarding its reliance on Canadian consumers and residential mortgages amid potential economic headwinds. Some analysts commend its cash reserve growth, with aggressive share buybacks and debt reduction strategies. However, others point out that the bank's valuation may be becoming stretched given the current economic context, urging caution and suggesting a focus on more defensive investments in the banking sector. Overall, while CIBC's trajectory appears positive, particularly with infrastructure developments benefiting the sector, the differing perspectives on its valuation suggest a cautious approach might be warranted.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Fair Value
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RY
COMMENT

Does have global operations, but more domestically inclined. Gained a lot of market share in the mortgage market, and that's where we might see an uptick in provisions at these rates. Yield is 6.8%.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 21/22, Down 10%)

As interest rates have gone up, yield stocks have been pushed down considerably. Sizeable mortgage exposure, so provisions for credit losses are attracting attention. Attractive here. Company is not going away. Expense ratio going down. Yield is 6.7%.

BUY

Likes preferred option with 8-9% yield. Owns shares in company - expecting recovery in next 5 years. ~7% yield is excellent yield. Owns shares and has been buying. 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 15/23, Down 12%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CM has triggered its stop at $51.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 13%, when combined with previous recommendations. 

DON'T BUY
SLF vs. TD vs. CM

All of the interest sensitives have been under pressure the last couple of months with rates rising.

He favours TD. Tightly regulated oligopoly, and a levered play on the growth of the Canadian, and increasingly US, economy. Surplus of excess capital. 10x earnings. Dominant personal and commercial banking franchise. Good-sized banking presence in the US. Shares are at a discount to average. Close to 5% yield, growing at 8% compound over 10 years.

Valuation and yield of SLF are similar to TD. But TD's competitive position in its industry is more advantageous than SLF.

Compared to CM, TD is more of a scale player with a stronger franchise on both sides of the border on its core banking business.

COMMENT

Has had a lot of issues over the years, but he thinks things have improved. At the end of the day, all the banks are starting to show increasing loan losses. 

WEAK BUY

Canadian banks are reasonably priced, but still headwinds on loan losses. He likes the one with the best balance sheet, TD. He also likes CM, with its outsized dividend yield and low valuation. BMO is OK.

For the heavy lifting in your portfolio, he'd look instead at insurance companies with similar yields and more growth over the next 1-2 years.

BUY

Cheap. 1.4-1.6x book value. Trades around 10x earnings. A great business. Tough time recently, partly due to what's happened with US banks. Higher rates increased costs, loan losses went up. Will be substantially higher 1-2 years from now. Yield is almost 6%.

DON'T BUY
BNS vs. CIBC

CIBC has outperformed BNS year to date. Which stock is less bad (negative)? Do you want to hold any banks? He prefers insurance though he owns TD. Every banks has been down for a while. That said, these two banks have gone sideways since November. He prefers BMO, Royal or insurance.

DON'T BUY

Likes Canadian banks as a group, well capitalized. She doesn't own CM, as its domestic nature makes it more sensitive to mortgage market volatility. She favours TD and RY, with exposure to US growth. 

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Around 65% of CBIC's loans have exposure to real estate, with 55% consumer and 10% commercial. CIBC's higher exposure to real estate does make it relatively riskier, and it is one of the smaller banks. Still, its valuation of less than 8X earnings reflects some, or even all, of this risk. We would still be comfortable owning the stock, but until recession fears go away or rates peak it may not do much.
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DON'T BUY

There'll be little disparity among the big banks though CM depends more on Canadian mortgages. Long-term, the big banks will pay you 10-15% returns annually, though they haven't been giving that in recent years. He prefers RY because of its slightly higher ROE and is more diversified.

HOLD

Seen as most troubled Canadian bank. Regulatory scrutiny on balance sheet. Among the highest dividends. Prefers RY and TD for the stronger balance sheets. May have more downside, but don't be afraid of it. 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Trading at only 1.1x book and 11x earnings, we reiterate this Canadian banking powerhouse as a TOP PICK.  Cash reserves are remaining stable, despite retiring debt and buying back shares.  It pays a great dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 65% of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $51, looking to achieve $69 -- upside of 18%.  Yield 5.8%   

(Analysts’ price target is $63.76)
HOLD

You can hold it for income. Dividend is safe for sure. Less foreign exposure, so this will benefit them in the short term. Canadian assets continue to grow. Best quarterly results of all the banks. Mortgage book and credit cards could come under pressure. He prefers other banks, based on history with CM. Pretty compelling yield of 6.2%.

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