
TSE:CM
This summary was created by AI, based on 19 opinions in the last 12 months.
The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) has received mixed opinions from analysts regarding its performance and valuation. Many experts highlight its strong earnings growth, driven by significant increases in US-based business, and impressive return on equity, although concerns exist regarding its reliance on Canadian consumers and residential mortgages amid potential economic headwinds. Some analysts commend its cash reserve growth, with aggressive share buybacks and debt reduction strategies. However, others point out that the bank's valuation may be becoming stretched given the current economic context, urging caution and suggesting a focus on more defensive investments in the banking sector. Overall, while CIBC's trajectory appears positive, particularly with infrastructure developments benefiting the sector, the differing perspectives on its valuation suggest a cautious approach might be warranted.
All of the interest sensitives have been under pressure the last couple of months with rates rising.
He favours TD. Tightly regulated oligopoly, and a levered play on the growth of the Canadian, and increasingly US, economy. Surplus of excess capital. 10x earnings. Dominant personal and commercial banking franchise. Good-sized banking presence in the US. Shares are at a discount to average. Close to 5% yield, growing at 8% compound over 10 years.
Valuation and yield of SLF are similar to TD. But TD's competitive position in its industry is more advantageous than SLF.
Compared to CM, TD is more of a scale player with a stronger franchise on both sides of the border on its core banking business.
Canadian banks are reasonably priced, but still headwinds on loan losses. He likes the one with the best balance sheet, TD. He also likes CM, with its outsized dividend yield and low valuation. BMO is OK.
For the heavy lifting in your portfolio, he'd look instead at insurance companies with similar yields and more growth over the next 1-2 years.
Around 65% of CBIC's loans have exposure to real estate, with 55% consumer and 10% commercial. CIBC's higher exposure to real estate does make it relatively riskier, and it is one of the smaller banks. Still, its valuation of less than 8X earnings reflects some, or even all, of this risk. We would still be comfortable owning the stock, but until recession fears go away or rates peak it may not do much.
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You can hold it for income. Dividend is safe for sure. Less foreign exposure, so this will benefit them in the short term. Canadian assets continue to grow. Best quarterly results of all the banks. Mortgage book and credit cards could come under pressure. He prefers other banks, based on history with CM. Pretty compelling yield of 6.2%.