
TSE:CM
Hesitant on Canadian banking space in general. Mortgage reset date of 2025 hasn't happened yet, with its impact on consumer. Bulk of the bad news hasn't been taken into consideration yet.
Market bias toward domestic-centric banks right now, so they're doing well. If she had to pick a Canadian-centred bank, she'd pick this one.
Acting quite nicely If you want to redeploy funds, take some from a good situation and put them toward a better one. Uptrend since January, though down over 2 years. Sell 1/2 or 1/3 and redeploy. He loves DFY, or look at FFH or GS, or try oil & gas.
Keep the rest, and he encourages using a DRIP.
Very domestic, 80% of revenue from Canada. Could have slower growth opportunities than peers, given how constrained Canadian consumer is right now by debt. US operations only 10% current revenues, working to grow that. Earnings are more volatile, difficult to forecast, but now moving into wealth management to smooth out earnings. Doing well. Attractive multiple of 10x. Yield is 5.7%, safe.
No, though it's cheap vs. the other banks. In this market, having a good dividend yield of 5.6% is worth a lot. If interest rates fall, the banks will get squeezed in their net interest margin. There are concerns over outstanding loans. But overall, the banks look attractive and CIBC is especially cheap. He likes Royal too.
CIBC was under the most pressure during the interest rate hikes, but now it's rebounded 26% off the bottom, the strongest bank performer. It will continue to rise. Peers like TD and RY have a big US presence, so if you want that CIBC doesn't offer it. Owns CIBC as a valuation trade. The dividend is safe. Lower rates will certainly help CIBC.
It's been at a discount from all its peers but that is eroding due to them beating earnings. His preferred Canadian bank.