
TSE:BNS
BNS has been a perennial underperformer, he sold. Not tempted to buy the Canadian banks right now.
TD gave pretty decent targets of high single-digit growth over the medium term. Market doesn't believe them, stock remains under pressure. Worries about Canadian housing, economy, higher interest rates. A lot of the damage is already in the share price.
He owns NA. He looks for the best companies that have the best management and add value over 3-5 years, and doesn't worry about day to day stock prices.
EPS of $1.7 missed estimates of $1.78 and revenues of $7.93B missed estimates of $8.04B. Net income dropped from $2.7B in the prior year to $2.2B, but it made progress by building its liquidity position with double-digit year-over-year customer deposit growth. Its Canadian banking and International banking segments were impacted by normalization for credit losses and higher provision for credit losses, while its global wealth management segment saw challenging market conditions impacting its fee income growth. An increase in its provision for credit losses is a key driver in its declining profitability, which is due to a less favorable macro outlook and a challenging market in Chile and Colombia from higher inflation. Similar to the impacts from 2020, we feel that the eventual reversal of these higher provisions for credit losses will benefit BNS later, but for the time being its earnings are being impacted by a more challenging economic outlook. BNS continues to pay a strong yield of ~6.0%, and its valuation is quite reasonable at an 8.7X forward earnings. We would be quite comfortable with owning BNS here.
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Historically, BNS used to trade at a premium, but their international operations haven't worked as well and the old CEO left. They're starting to sell some assets, but that's also losing earning streams. Are investing in wealth management through acquisitions to catch up to peers. Maybe paid too much. Holding on, because their PE is the lowest in this group and willing to see what the new CEO does. The 6% dividend is among the highest in this group and safe.
All banks have been hit in the recent environment. Canadian banks are fairly well capitalized. A compelling 1.2x book. Longer term, room for a lot of capital appreciation. New management doing strategic review of capital allocation priorities, an opportunity to increase profitability. Yield is 6.2%.
(Analysts’ price target is $72.72)
Very favourable on all Canadian banks for the long term. Question marks on this one. Very high dividend. New CEO brings a wait and see. More diversified internationally, very volatile markets. If you have the stomach for the volatility, won't go wrong for the long haul.