Stock price when the opinion was issued
Worst-performing Canadian bank over the last decade, and that's one of the reasons he likes it. New CEO has freedom to exit under-performing businesses, especially in Latin America. Proceeds are being reinvested in NA. Earnings poised to rise significantly next year as capital gets properly allocated.
Not expecting outperformance. But yield is 6.11%, and with improvement in growth and other metrics should deliver at least a 10% annualized return for the next 5 years.
He sold ~40-50% of his position at $79-80. Now that it's dropped below $70, considering buying it back. Appealing dividend yield. Not sure correction is over yet because of credit cycle. May try to buy cheaper, but it's a reasonable entry point if you have a very long horizon.
Savvy new CEO's doing quite a decent job. Managing balance sheet well, but he's unsure about 15% acquisition of KeyCorp in US.
EPS of $1.7 missed estimates of $1.78 and revenues of $7.93B missed estimates of $8.04B. Net income dropped from $2.7B in the prior year to $2.2B, but it made progress by building its liquidity position with double-digit year-over-year customer deposit growth. Its Canadian banking and International banking segments were impacted by normalization for credit losses and higher provision for credit losses, while its global wealth management segment saw challenging market conditions impacting its fee income growth. An increase in its provision for credit losses is a key driver in its declining profitability, which is due to a less favorable macro outlook and a challenging market in Chile and Colombia from higher inflation. Similar to the impacts from 2020, we feel that the eventual reversal of these higher provisions for credit losses will benefit BNS later, but for the time being its earnings are being impacted by a more challenging economic outlook. BNS continues to pay a strong yield of ~6.0%, and its valuation is quite reasonable at an 8.7X forward earnings. We would be quite comfortable with owning BNS here.
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