
TSE:BBD.B
Although their flight was successful, the stock dropped. This is a case of Buy on Rumour and Sell on News scenario. Chart shows an upward trend from late 2012. This is going to be a bit of a wild ride. If it gets above the $5 mark, there is a lot of room up to the $7 range. He expects there would be support in the $4.72 area with the next level being at $4.32. If you are a long-term holder, he would stick with it.
Had the 1st test flight of their C series today. Over the next while, you are quite likely to see an increase in orders, as people have been sitting on the fence waiting. In the meantime, they have had success in other parts of the aircraft division as well as several good additions to the backlog of the transportation end. Thinks there could be significant upside over the next year.
(Top Pick Sep 17/12, Up 30.52) He trimmed a little. You could see normalized earnings at $0.75. It had a good run and you should take some profits, holding some still. You will see entry into service next year in the ‘C’ series and you will get a jump in the stock price. More countries are spending money on transportation infrastructure now.
If you are going to speculate, he feels you can get a company with much better upside. The problem is the number of shares that are outstanding. Have a big backlog and decent products but this is a situation where they are competing globally with companies that have government support. The upside might be $1-$2 if everything goes well in the market. If you are going to speculate, he would go for mid/small caps where you could quadruple or 5X your money if everything works out the same way.
(A Top Pick July 16/12. Up 28.71%.) The big question is when are they going to get the C series up. Has been delayed twice and now they are not giving a definitive date for it. He expects it will go up before the end of September. Results have been very, very good but, at the same time there are risk factors. Have taken on a lot more debt which makes things a little iffier. Still likes. His target is just a shade under $7.