Bombardier Inc (B)BBD.B.TOBUYSep 16, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 29, 2026. Market Open.
Aerospace is a great and growing industry. Catalysts for positive change, such as Canadian contract and potential NATO contract. Paid down debt, has become a pure-play business jet leader. Now has a dynamite balance sheet. Strong jet-delivery growth, margins expanding.
New order book grew 43% in past year. Services increased 25% YOY. Will generate $1B in 2026. No dividend.
It has had a very successful turn-around. It sort of downsized in 2020 and focused on business jets. At that time there was too much debt but the balance sheet is much improved now. The price then was around $10 so it has been a 25 bagger in 5 years. Since it is priced much more fully now, he would trim and not add.
Phases 1, 2, and 3 of the business cycle are the expansion phases and they typically last a year. His team believes that last year was phase 1, so now we're in phase 2. This matters because industrials typically do well in phase 2.
Likes it, chart looks great. He'd continue to hold. If it goes up another 1%, you could trim that 1%. If it takes out somewhere in the $240 range (which is a pretty good level of support), that's when he'd trim a bigger portion. A move below $240 indicates that something significant is happening.
Had the 1st test flight of their C series today. Over the next while, you are quite likely to see an increase in orders, as people have been sitting on the fence waiting. In the meantime, they have had success in other parts of the aircraft division as well as several good additions to the backlog of the transportation end. Thinks there could be significant upside over the next year.