President & CEO at Venator Capital Management
Member since: Jan '13 · 31 Opinions
Fairly non-cyclical. You will always get good pockets of growth. But this one is stagnant. Nokia was not a good idea. He is concerned with the 10s of thousands of employees they just picked up. They are challenged and it is well known they are. Sees a low level of growth. 3% dividend. Be prepared to hold it for 3 years after the new CEO turns things around.
4% dividend is good, but not great. A few acquisitions were put together. But he does not like the cigarette business. Too many laws working against you and getting worse. There is a trend toward people getting healthier. It has a beta of 1 so it may not be that defensive. Not a lot of growth potential.
(Top Pick Jan 24/13, Down 8.99%) He got out somewhere in the mid $40s. Same store sales were not coming in where he wanted them to come in. There is some question as to how the CEO can pull strings to get one company to help another. Likes it over the long term but he stays on the sidelines for now.
It is controversial but he would buy it today. Thinks they will regain market share. They ARE the PC business. There is not a lot of market share to lose in that area. At some point PC sales will stabilize. They have a rich dividend. Don’t count them out yet. There are better places to be, but he would hold it.
12.6% dividend. An interesting company. In dispute with AC.A-T, their only client. They can’t get out of contract for 6 years. If it is resolved in favour of CHR, it will go up, otherwise it will pull back. Thinks they will kill the dividend in the later case. There is a better way to play it. They have a convertible bond with 9% coupon, due in about a year. If the decision goes against them they could still make good on the bond.
Markets. Non-Financial and Non-Resource N.A. equities are today’s topic. We had a very large run in the US since 2009. A lot has been a lack of alternatives. The Fed squeezed you out of bonds, so money flowed back to equities. After 2008's experience, people may move back to bonds for only 3%. He thinks the money flows into equities are gone and now companies are on their own. He always does bottom up. He is worried that the economy may not be as strong as people think based on fast earnings in big blue chips.