
NYSE:BAC
U.S. banks will be a great place to be. They're well-capitalized. The sins of 2008 still fresh in their mind, so they're afraid to err like that again. Payout ratios will be close to 100%. Yield curve is now flat, which is hurting BAC a little,
but should resolve itself. Good dividend and earnings growth. Good safety.
Bank of America or Wells Fargo? Both are well-diversified and have interest rate sensitivity. BAC has better capital markets exposure, which he likes. Wells Fargo is in the doghouse with leadership, namely with regulatory problems. This hamstrings WF management. This is a big knock against them. Definitely prefers BAC.
He likes the interest rate spreads and recommended it when Trump came to office. This quarter he expects a big dividend increase. They are only paying out about 20% of earnings. They have a very conservative balance sheet he believes. The political trend is moving towards helping banks get bigger. Yield 1.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $34.46 )
They will raise their dividend from around 1.5% to 2% in a year, as the payour ratio nearly doubles to 30%, and they'll buy back their shares. They have lots of capital. Headwinds in the past decade in the U.S. have turned into tailwinds. The U.S. economy is growing strongly. BAC will trade at a couple times book value. (Analysts’ target: $34.46)
De-regulation and rising interest rates will benefit all U.S. banks. Likes this sector though are better ones elsewhere. BAC is well-capitalized and positioned.