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TSE:AGF.B
9.6% dividend yield, which to some people indicate that this could be cut. Have been losing an awful lot of customers. If they lose money under management, that means there is a lot less money going to the company and a lot less money they can potentially payout. An interesting contrarian play but too expensive for him.
A multi-voting stock, so the family controls the company. Lost a very high profile international money manager a while ago so there were a lot of out flow from their institutional client base. Improving markets will help this company. Have quite an attractive dividend. Could be a long, drawn out process because it is family controlled.
Just reported not very good earnings. Performance of their funds has not been very good either. He’d be a little careful of looking at the yield. Although they do have some cash in the balance sheet and should be able to sustain the yield for a bit, if they face heightened redemptions on some of their funds the yield could be affected.
Had setbacks over the last few years. Had a loss of assets under management but that seems to have sort of bottomed out and, in fact, may be turning a bit here. Still generates significant cash flow. Doesn’t expect you will see significant appreciation out of this. Better alternatives in the financial services area.
You want to buy this group if you think stock markets are getting stronger. Right now we are in a stronger market and people are looking at this group and we are seeing money moving into insurance, banks and asset management. In this group the most predictable are the asset management companies because they have recurring fees. The problem is, if you’re recurring fees are not growing and are going backwards. He doesn’t see anything changing and the returns have not gotten a lot better. He would prefer CI Financial (CIX-T).
Funds haven’t been a great place to be invested in and this one is suffering from the same kind of issues, i.e. funds having a lacklustre performance with some of their star managers leaving. They also own a small mortgage lender giving them a kind of double whammy where you have an asset manager and a mortgage lender all wrapped up into one. Thinks they will eventually come good. Doesn’t think they are at their bottom right now so it’s not time to buy.
It’s not going to go broke, despite they are beat up and lost assets under management. Is it a takeover candidate – no. Doesn’t believe the family wants to sell it. It will take a few years but they are going to have to put some better performance on the table. It will take a lot of hard work. Long term they could pull it off.
If you are holding it for the yield, by all means. Dividend is safe. Family owns a lot of stock. There is no earnings growth as they face the same issues as the rest of the mutual fund industry. If markets go higher then funds go higher and their fees go higher and that offsets redemptions.