
NASDAQ:AAPL
The caller has a large profit in Apple and is considering selling half his position. Hurst commented that he loves the strategy of de-risking. Then he commented on the high quality of Apple’s performance. It is delivering in technological development, growth of revenue stream, stock buybacks, dividends, etc. He also thinks that the market has not yet appreciated the potential of Apple’s augmented reality technology, which is just in its infancy today. So, even though he would de-risk a position that had grown large because of a big profit, he would not exit Apple and sees strong reasons to continue to invest in it.
This is a great company but its business has evolved. Its penetration in developed markets is very high and so its sales are replacement cycle. In less-developed markets, the phone is so expensive that it is difficult to increase penetration. The company has a lot of cash, but it is not using it. In addition, the company has grown so quickly over the last few years that continuing the momentum will be a challenge. For someone who has owned this company for a while, he would recommend taking the cost basis off the table. He doesn’t expect this to have a huge correction, which is what he expects for Twitter, but he does expect Apple to become range-bound.
(Past Top Pick, January 25, 2018, Up 8%) It's his longest-held position (since 2006). Valuation is 14x. It's becoming less dependent on the iPhone, and doesn't need to rely on its future growth as much now. At current levels, it's a little off its high. $170 is its 200-day average, so it would be a screaming buy at that level.
They are looking to double the service component of their business: If they can get customers into their infrastructure, those customers will stay there. The iPhone X was the best selling product they had and there are rumours of a lower price phone with similar capabilities coming soon. The company trades at good valuations and offers a dividend and buybacks. (Analysts’ price target is $196.94)
He owned a lot of it after the recession, but now they have no unit growth. He's concerned about what would happen if unit volumes went negative. Product launches in September should benefit them, though. Also, they have a lot of runway to expand services (e.g. apps, streaming music).