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Stock Opinions by Mario Mainelli, CFA

COMMENT

Strong earnings from the SYP 500 and a strong economy bode well, but on the flipside are rising rates and expectations of inflation. This bull market is still going, but when does it end? Oil is holding above $70 a barrel and helps the Canadian market, but NAFTA uncertainty, mortgate rules and household debt are concerns. Add to this the Vancouver and Toronto housing bubbles. Higher volatility is actually good for stockpickers--opportunities. Watch the yield curve. There's no consensus about when a recession will happen.

Unknown
BUY
Microsoft

A lot of investors underestimated their successful shift to the Cloud. They've done an amazing job turning this company around. However, expectations have now risen on this stock.

computer software / processing
DON'T BUY
Tesla Motors Inc

It's burning through cash, has very high debt, is underdelivering and recently Elon Musk snapped at caller questions. Red flags are everywhere. They still haven't nailed down their level three entry-level car. Definitely don't buy.

0
DON'T BUY
Shopify Inc.

He's taken aback by its high multiple and with how fast it's grown. He's skeptical when companies grow this quickly. He applauds there being a Canadian tech company, because there are so few, but there's no room for error. One earnings miss will hurt them badly.

0
COMMENT

It's done better than expected. Relies on consumers spending thousands on a coat, but he's impressed they've expanded their product line. Caveat: their multiple is high, and he's wary of high multiples in the retail space.

clothing
BUY
CGI Group (A)

Likes it. A lot of companies, like banks, have outdated computer systems--which CGI updated--so there's a long runway of growth for CGI. He's held this for a long while.

consulting
DON'T BUY
Walt Disney Co.

They get lumped in with other companies over with cord-cutting fears, but Disney is better positioned given their theme parks and movies. However, segments like ESPN have seen pressure. Overall, avoid this.

entertainment services
DON'T BUY

They capitalized early on the athletic leisure trend, but can they continue to command consumer interest at the prices they charge? Competitors charge lower prices for similar product--and consumers are fickle.

household goods
BUY
Amazon.com

There are many strong catalysts going forward: their Cloud, Amazon Prime and, especially now, advertising segments. A solid stock.

specialty stores
COMMENT

All Canadian banks suffer uncertainty from housing bubble fears and so are performing weaker compared to the US banks. He'd rather buy Bank of Nova Scotia for their Latin American exposure, because of the strong growth in those countries.

banks
BUY
Bank of Nova Scotia

All Canadian banks suffer uncertainty from housing bubble fears and so are performing weaker compared to the US banks. In Canada, he'd buy Bank of Nova Scotia for their Latin American exposure, because of the strong growth in those countries.

banks
COMMENT

An auto supplier. The auto companies are trading well, so the suppliers will get rated up. Be careful of a value trap, since AXL trades at 4x forward earnings. Make sure they're well-positioned.

Automotive
COMMENT
Parkland Fuel Corp

Higher oil prices may discourage people from driving which could pressure PKI since a large part of their business is running gas stations. That said, their margins are growing as they expand in scale from recent acquisitions.

merchandising / lodging
COMMENT
Knight Therapeutics

He's skeptical of biotechs, especially small-cap, because their new products either get approved or not. An investor really must study this industry well to understand it. He doesn't invest in this space.

0
DON'T BUY
BCE Inc.

The telecoms are interest-rate senstitive so they have struggled lately. Also, this industry quickly changes: cable-cutting, cutting home phones. He avoids this space. He can't see what will happen in this industry in the future. BCE is a good dividend play, though.

telephone utilities
Showing 1 to 15 of 51 entries