NASDAQ:AAPL

Apple Inc (AAPL)

347.73
-0.50 (0.14%)
as of Oct 23, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.
2022 watching
0
BUY
5-7-year hold? Amazing idea. Though with tech stocks they do change quickly, so that's a warning. But he loves this number: $130 billion net cash and generating more. The new Apple streaming is interesting but meaningless to the bottom line. Their new credit card is interesting, and maybe they're using that to make existing customers more "sticky." Apple is cheaper than peer stocks. There's way more growth ahead. And no, the iPhone is not dead.
DON'T BUY
The streaming thing is very interesting. They may or may not announce today they are getting into that business. If they follow Netflix into the space then it reduces the scarcity value. We will find out the hard way. He got out of AAPL-Q because he was worried their volumes would go negative. When this happens, others in the past have seen the beginning of the end when this happened. They have to show they can grow their revenues in other businesses. As you look out several years, there is the 5G network rollout.
BUY
It is getting a bit of a boost on the services side of the business. It is about $45 Billion in revenue. This equates to FB-Q's revenue in 2017. They are getting a bit of a bid here. They have more than 1 billion devices and a loyalty rating of 93%.
BUY
This year will be flat, but beyond that 13% annual compounded growth is expected. They were hurt last quarter because of tariffs and China. They are becoming more of a services company. Trades at a reasonable multiple. Good dividend.
BUY
It is great as a long term call. Their iPhone is entrenched. They have the opportunity to grow their services business. They are the most profitable company. There would be upside if they came out with the Apple Car. It is not a secret that they are testing a vehicle.
DON'T BUY
He sold it a while back. His concern is that 63% of their revenues come form the iPhone. It is not in the area of tech that he likes the most: the cloud business. They still have lots of cash, maybe they buy something from here. Not his favorite tech name here.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 27/18, Up 12%) In December, it had pulled back 35% from its peak. Then they issued a bomb of an earnings report based on poor guidance. Since then, the stock has marched up. There's speculation they'll do an acquisition in the services space.
COMMENT
He bought a $175 July call for $8 and sold twice as many $190 July expiry. That's a ratio call spread: he bought a call at a lower strike price and sold twice as many calls at a higher strike price; his higher strike was $190. So if Apple trades up to $190, he starts losing money. He's got no money out of his pocket because he brought in enough money from the sale of two options. That long option will benefit all the way to $190. It's a good trade, but keep an eye on it. He doesn't normally like that with a volatile company, because specific events can make that stock rise dramatically. That said, he understands why one would do this with AAPL, but not with Netflix or Facebook.
COMMENT
Not expensive, trading around 12x earnings and has lots of cash. It's buying back shares and raising its dividend. The issue is that the iPhone has not added many innovative features lately. So, Apple is having trouble getting the volume at these prices. Apple no longer gives information about its sales, too. They talk about their services business growing, but it's driven by the iPhone business. They have a lot of cash, but they've never bought anything, at least nothing big.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/18, Down 2%) This is a stock he would "go to war with". He sees about 15% upside from here. He would be a long term buy and hold at $100, otherwise trade it looking to enter at $142.
BUY
Add on dips? Yes, you can. The company has been going through a transition as iPhone sales are slowing. But the service business will grow as long as Apple continues to make investments. Though Apple has recovered from its dips, don't chase this. Wall St. can be fickle. This will trade at a maximum 15x multiple. Apple needs to build its content in the face of its tech rivals. Overall, a great company.
BUY
It is one of his top ideas this year. The ecosystem they have means he sends them money each month for storage. Here is a consumer company trading at only 9 times earnings.
COMMENT
It's recovered from the start of the year when they announced they are lowering guidance. Healthcare potential is high
DON'T BUY
He's owned this, but he's worried with its reliance on the iPhone and we're seeing concerns about that demand. That's hurting Apple now. Other products like the Watch won't make a dent. It hasn't bounced much from the December lows either.
DON'T BUY
It is a cash rich company and only holds debt for tax purposes. He doesn't want to own it although he has a lot of their products. 2/3 of their business is iPhones and that business is stagnant. It needs to develop a new breakthrough product.
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