TSE:X

TMX Group (X.TO)

50.25
-0.43 (0.85%)
as of Jul 16, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
83 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJul 16, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 22 opinions in the last 12 months.

TMX Group, known for its strong positioning in Canadian capital markets, has experienced volatility recently due to broader concerns about AI disruptions and falling commodity prices. Despite these challenges, several analysts express confidence in the company's robust business model, emphasizing its unique data analytics and recurring revenue streams. The company's recent acquisitions, including Cboe and VettaFi, are viewed as beneficial for long-term growth. With a solid foundation and a track record of increasing trading volumes, many experts see current pricing as an opportunity to buy, especially as the stock has pulled back to critical support levels. The potential for continued growth in data analytics and the overall strength of the Canadian markets contribute to a generally optimistic outlook for TMX Group.

consensus icon
Consensus
Buy
valuation icon
Valuation
Undervalued
review icon
Similar
CME
WATCH
Analysts have not loved this stock for a while, yet it keeps creeping up.

Great company, especially in the context of Canada. He has a few questions about its capital allocation as it's moving into the US, goals seem a little ambitious. Quality firm, generates a lot of cash. Don't chase; valuation is mean reverting.

Keep it on your watchlist. Pick away as the valuation comes down.

BUY

Recent all time high in share price. Owns shares and will continue to own. Capital light business that is able to generate strong profits. Well executed investor day recently. Has a diverse offering of trading platforms. Would recommend holding for the long term investor. A majority of revenues are recurring which is excellent for profits. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 18/23, Up 21%)

Very strong business with excellent business model. Stock performance has been very strong. Data and analytics business also expected to rise. Steady dividend growth with 2% yield. Trading at 20x earnings. 

BUY
Buy or hold?

Stock exchange plus sells data. Good businesses. Fewer IPOs contributed to a slump, but next year will be better. Will grow its data offerings through AI. Good investment over the long term. Not a bad place to buy here.

DON'T BUY

Business depends on new listings, and right now there are fewer IPOs. It's grouped as a financial, but he sees it as a tech platform, and that's where the difficulty is in assessing it. Not looking to buy.

Unspecified

It has done well, is well run, and is a good investment for the long term. A broad play on the stock market.

HOLD

A monopoly on the markets, no one has successfully challenged its hold. Clips a coupon when shares get traded, so it benefits from volatility. Huge amount of data that they sell. Range-bound, but you should see better results.

PARTIAL SELL

It's had nice up move this year so far. Hold, if you own, or take some profits if you've held this for a while. Pruning your portfolio is smart.

BUY

Very good numbers and a strong business.
Expecting further growth going forward.
Solid management team. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 10/23, Up 4%)

Had a really big breakout from multi-year base. This is typically really positive, as it's telling us that something is changing for the positive. Still likes it. Really positive chart.

HOLD

One of many publicly traded exchanges globally.
Unsure how much company will be able to grow.
20x earnings a good share price to invest at.

TOP PICK

Global owner and operator of stock exchanges. Increasingly into adjacent areas like data analytics. Pretty consistent grower, compounded 8% pace of earnings and dividend growth over the last decade. 19x earnings, a discount to peers. Discount should narrow as they expand. Yield is 2.41%.

(Analysts’ price target is $154.86)
TOP PICK

Sideways trading range for 2 years. "The longer the base, the more time in space." Breaking out to new highs, looking really positive. Yield is 2.44%.

HOLD
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

One of the most defensive plays on the TSX is the TSX itself. Trading under X on its own exchange, the TMX Group just reported another beat, its third in the past year, with revenues jumping 80% over full-year 2021 and net income leaping 60% also over FY 2021. Robust Canadian stock performance (outperforming the Wall Street majors in 2022) and ongoing volatility are good for TMX’s business. Selling data provides another recurring revenue stream. TMX currently pays 2.58% but that dividend has been climbing since 2016. Also, its beta is a measly 0.56 and it trades at 14.16x. Safe. Read: Risk tolerance and safety for our full analysis. 

TOP PICK

This is a very defensive and high quality investment. Half of the business is selling data so it has recurring revenues. It also has listing fees and with a rebound in the stock market these could increase. Good value compared to competitors and earnings growth should be in the double digits for the next few years. Also a great dividend payer and has raised dividends every year since 2016.   Buy 2  Hold 5  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $153.57)
Showing 31 to 45 of 368 entries