TSE:X

TMX Group (X.TO)

49.56
+0.49 (1.00%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 5, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 15 opinions in the last 12 months.

TMX Group, operating the Montreal Exchange and other trading platforms, is viewed favorably by analysts due to its unique positioning within the financial industry. Acquisitions, including CBOE Canada, have reinforced its market presence, particularly in the mining sector, where it holds significant trade volumes. Despite concerns over potential AI disruptions, experts believe TMX's core operations and data analytics segments will continue to generate steady revenue and dividends. Analysts project upside potential in share price, underpinned by consistent historical growth in dividends and a robust balance sheet, making it an appealing prospect for long-term holders as it navigates current market challenges.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Fair Value
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CME
BUY

Very good numbers and a strong business.
Expecting further growth going forward.
Solid management team. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 10/23, Up 4%)

Had a really big breakout from multi-year base. This is typically really positive, as it's telling us that something is changing for the positive. Still likes it. Really positive chart.

HOLD

One of many publicly traded exchanges globally.
Unsure how much company will be able to grow.
20x earnings a good share price to invest at.

TOP PICK

Global owner and operator of stock exchanges. Increasingly into adjacent areas like data analytics. Pretty consistent grower, compounded 8% pace of earnings and dividend growth over the last decade. 19x earnings, a discount to peers. Discount should narrow as they expand. Yield is 2.41%.

(Analysts’ price target is $154.86)
TOP PICK

Sideways trading range for 2 years. "The longer the base, the more time in space." Breaking out to new highs, looking really positive. Yield is 2.44%.

HOLD
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

One of the most defensive plays on the TSX is the TSX itself. Trading under X on its own exchange, the TMX Group just reported another beat, its third in the past year, with revenues jumping 80% over full-year 2021 and net income leaping 60% also over FY 2021. Robust Canadian stock performance (outperforming the Wall Street majors in 2022) and ongoing volatility are good for TMX’s business. Selling data provides another recurring revenue stream. TMX currently pays 2.58% but that dividend has been climbing since 2016. Also, its beta is a measly 0.56 and it trades at 14.16x. Safe. Read: Risk tolerance and safety for our full analysis. 

TOP PICK

This is a very defensive and high quality investment. Half of the business is selling data so it has recurring revenues. It also has listing fees and with a rebound in the stock market these could increase. Good value compared to competitors and earnings growth should be in the double digits for the next few years. Also a great dividend payer and has raised dividends every year since 2016.   Buy 2  Hold 5  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $153.57)
BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Market volatility helped trading volume. Integration of recent acquisitions continue. Balance sheet improved. Actvely pursuing M&A opportunities.
COMMENT
Canadian stocks are undervalued compared to global stocks. Energy is especially undervalued. The U.S. dollar has been strong but it might start to settle down. Building mines is harder to do in Canada and the U.S. due to government regulation and politics. It is easier in Australia. Mines and Energy are both an important part of the TSX.
COMMENT
The TSX company. It is not at a high multiple but has been in a trading range with not many new issues. Yield is 2.6%.
BUY

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Market volatility helped trading volume. Integration of recent acquisitions continue. Balance sheet improved. Actvely pursuing M&A opportunities. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

HOLD

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research Business model provides market ‘hedge’. Gaining market share via acquisitions. Increased dividend by 8%. Attractive valuation compared to history. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Growth is expected to slow down to 5-7% in the next three years. Margins could see some pressure from higher operating costs and higher amortisation. It benefits regardless of sentiment change or interest rates hikes. Still attractive overall at 17x earnings. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

DON'T BUY
Depends on new listings and revenues through data feeds. Entirely reliant on its technology. Valuation is 18x earnings, but outlook for growth is flat over next couple of years. Competitive pressures from the US. He's wary. Stay away.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 0.4%) Terrific 2021. Underlevered, stable. Can buy back stock or make acquisitions. Good long-term winner. Good alternative to the banks. True, when markets drop, their fees drop. Strong commodities, utilities, and oil in Canada could help deliver surprises.
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