TSE:X

TMX Group (X.TO)

49.56
+0.49 (1.00%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 5, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 15 opinions in the last 12 months.

TMX Group, operating the Montreal Exchange and other trading platforms, is viewed favorably by analysts due to its unique positioning within the financial industry. Acquisitions, including CBOE Canada, have reinforced its market presence, particularly in the mining sector, where it holds significant trade volumes. Despite concerns over potential AI disruptions, experts believe TMX's core operations and data analytics segments will continue to generate steady revenue and dividends. Analysts project upside potential in share price, underpinned by consistent historical growth in dividends and a robust balance sheet, making it an appealing prospect for long-term holders as it navigates current market challenges.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

A wonderful performer in recent years. Not just the TSX, but they have businesses around the world like trading platforms and economic data/analytics, based on subscriptions, so lots of recurring revenues. Their results may move a little due to trading volumes and new listings, but TMX is so diversified that enjoy recurring high margins. The stock has been on a tear, and not cheap now. One of the best companies in Canada.

BUY

Fingers in a lot of stock-exchange pies. Companies pay to keep stocks listed. Fees from trading activity, which has been fast and furious. Options market has been even more frenetic. Also has sticky recurring revenue businesses, which are less cyclical. In his dividend growers mandate. Globally diversified.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Consistently does well. You might want to wait for it to pop down. Decent one to buy now and hold for 5-6 years.

BUY

One of his top 10 positions. All of the exchanges are trading well. Volumes are strong. Has held up during recent weakness. Trading better than 92% of companies in the S&P over the last 12 months. Nice steady earnings growth ahead of it, nice dividend growth.

BUY

One of his largest positions. Very well run. Likes that it got into owning and selling proprietary data for ETFs and the energy industry. Phenomenal business model. Double-digit grower. Valuation quite reasonable. No plans to sell.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

We continue to like TMX group. They should continue to benefit in an uptrending market and from a valuation persepctive, given the stability and steady growth, we don't view the 23X P/E as particularly 'challenging'. If a bit more deal activity comes back in the New Year, TMX should see an extra tailwind as well. For entry price, we think something in the range of low to mid-40's here makes sense.
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HOLD

Rising with the market. Pop in July. We've had a correction, but it's important that it hasn't corrected back to where it broke out at $38.50. At this point, it's just a correction within an uptrend. On RSI, nicely in the upper half, doing pretty well.

WATCH
Analysts have not loved this stock for a while, yet it keeps creeping up.

Great company, especially in the context of Canada. He has a few questions about its capital allocation as it's moving into the US, goals seem a little ambitious. Quality firm, generates a lot of cash. Don't chase; valuation is mean reverting.

Keep it on your watchlist. Pick away as the valuation comes down.

BUY

Recent all time high in share price. Owns shares and will continue to own. Capital light business that is able to generate strong profits. Well executed investor day recently. Has a diverse offering of trading platforms. Would recommend holding for the long term investor. A majority of revenues are recurring which is excellent for profits. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 18/23, Up 21%)

Very strong business with excellent business model. Stock performance has been very strong. Data and analytics business also expected to rise. Steady dividend growth with 2% yield. Trading at 20x earnings. 

BUY
Buy or hold?

Stock exchange plus sells data. Good businesses. Fewer IPOs contributed to a slump, but next year will be better. Will grow its data offerings through AI. Good investment over the long term. Not a bad place to buy here.

DON'T BUY

Business depends on new listings, and right now there are fewer IPOs. It's grouped as a financial, but he sees it as a tech platform, and that's where the difficulty is in assessing it. Not looking to buy.

Unspecified

It has done well, is well run, and is a good investment for the long term. A broad play on the stock market.

HOLD

A monopoly on the markets, no one has successfully challenged its hold. Clips a coupon when shares get traded, so it benefits from volatility. Huge amount of data that they sell. Range-bound, but you should see better results.

PARTIAL SELL

It's had nice up move this year so far. Hold, if you own, or take some profits if you've held this for a while. Pruning your portfolio is smart.

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