TSE:X

TMX Group (X.TO)

49.56
+0.49 (1.00%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
81 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 5, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 15 opinions in the last 12 months.

TMX Group, operating the Montreal Exchange and other trading platforms, is viewed favorably by analysts due to its unique positioning within the financial industry. Acquisitions, including CBOE Canada, have reinforced its market presence, particularly in the mining sector, where it holds significant trade volumes. Despite concerns over potential AI disruptions, experts believe TMX's core operations and data analytics segments will continue to generate steady revenue and dividends. Analysts project upside potential in share price, underpinned by consistent historical growth in dividends and a robust balance sheet, making it an appealing prospect for long-term holders as it navigates current market challenges.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Fair Value
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CME
TOP PICK

It is more of a defensive position with a bit more yield on it. It is like a monopoly. Their company, Trayport, which does energy trading and has some growth. There has been some consolidation in their space and they are trading at a material discount to their peers. They report earnings tonight. (Analysts’ price target is $126.86)

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 31/18, Up 45%) Management has cut costs like crazy. Diversified. Good acquisitions. Last quarter was phenomenal. Trading at a discount to global exchange peers. Still buying here.
TOP PICK
A few years ago, the new CEO transformed this from a listings business to a data analystics business and gaining more revenues outside Canada. Now, 50% of their business is data analystics, selling information to companies like BNN. TMX benefits now from cannabis and cryptos. It's trading at a big discount to other exchanges, so there's a lot of upside. (Analysts’ price target is $102.67)
DON'T BUY
Why is it down 4% today? An analyst downgrade, so this could be an opportunity. TMX has had a huge run; it's not cheap. But TMX remains the leading exchange globally in cannabis and oil.
BUY
A great stock that he's still buying. The TSX was valued a lot less than other exchanges, but they have done more businesses. It's still a good entry point. Buy and hold it for a few years.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 04/18, Up 9%) They've done a good job with the TMX through market reforms and improving operations. There's room to grow.
WATCH
We are likely to touch the support level over the next couple of weeks. It is one of the best stocks in the financials.
TOP PICK

They're doing amazing by transforming their business by doing data analytics, which is more recurring revenues. Also, 30% of revenues are outside Canada. They're trading at a deep discount to other stock exchange providers. 2.8% dividend. Great management. This stock is undervalued. (Analysts’ price target is $96.20)

BUY

Owns the TSX. But more importantly. They are branching off to the subscription services for data. Very undervalued. New management has done a wonderful job.

BUY

Would you buy this for the long term? For sure. Core holding for his clients. The Toronto Stock Exchange. Involved in derivatives and selling data. It is exciting that they bought in Europe a company called Trailed Corp which is called the Bloomberg of the commodities trading. It gives them diversification outside of Canada which it is very good for them. Valuation is very reasonable.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick March 1/17. Up 4%.) This one is completely baffling. It should be a $100 stock. They should be making so much hay with the marijuana law, the trading and the amount of new issues and the secondary offerings. Trading at 13X earnings. It has a monopoly on trading in Canada on new listings. Just made an acquisition of a commodities platform in Europe. 50% of their business is going to be recurring revenues.

TOP PICK

Undervalued compared to most stock exchanges in the world. Lots of new listings going on. There is very good value there and he is surprised it has not gone up faster. (Analysts’ target: $80.50).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 1/16. Up 19.59%.) 2015 was a dreadful year, but was one of the best performers in 2016. This year it has cooled off a little, and not sure why because the earnings growth has been pretty significant. A very profitable business. They’ve done a great job of deleveraging, getting rid of businesses that are not profitable. Expects there will be more dividend increases and a smart allocation of capital. Still a Buy. Dividend yield of 2.99%.

COMMENT

This owns the TSX and a bunch of data, so they make money on trading. Expects it will have a pretty good Q2 because there have been more IPOs. This is on track to earn around $4.75 this year, maybe $5 in 2018. Valuation is at 13-14 times earnings, which is very inexpensive for a company with very consistent earnings. Management has done an excellent job righting the ship. They’ve turfed a number of underperforming divisions and even raised the dividend twice in the past year. Generates an enormous amount of free cash flow. He sees upside to at least $80.

TOP PICK

This was facing concerns about NASDAQ coming into Canada and taking some listings, but to him, this is much better than Amazon in some ways, because they have all the shoppers and they have all the products. It is going to be very hard for someone to come in and take the listings. They finally raised the dividend last year. The balance sheet is now perfect. They’ve been selling off divisions that were not profitable. The new CEO has done an excellent job. Valuation is quite reasonable when compared to other publicly traded exchanges. He thinks this is an $80 stock and could go a lot higher if we continue to see good markets. Dividend yield of 2.56%. (Analysts’ price target is $76.)

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