TSE:X
TMX Group (X.TO)
Financials 
Technical Analysis 
Sep 14, 2026, 12:00 amThis summary was created by AI, based on 24 opinions in the last 12 months.
TMX Group has been navigating a complex market landscape marked by fears of AI disruption and competition from prediction markets. Analysts note that despite these concerns, TMX's unique position in data analytics and its proprietary trading platforms provide a strong foundation for growth. With revenue increasingly driven by subscription-based data analytics, the company’s fundamentals remain robust, with stocks witnessing a rally following a significant drop earlier in the year. However, various experts advise caution due to potential volatility, advising to consider buy opportunities during pullbacks. Overall, TMX is recognized for its solid business model and recurring revenue streams, particularly benefiting from increased trading volumes during market fluctuations.
One of the most defensive plays on the TSX is the TSX itself. Trading under X on its own exchange, the TMX Group just reported another beat, its third in the past year, with revenues jumping 80% over full-year 2021 and net income leaping 60% also over FY 2021. Robust Canadian stock performance (outperforming the Wall Street majors in 2022) and ongoing volatility are good for TMX’s business. Selling data provides another recurring revenue stream. TMX currently pays 2.58% but that dividend has been climbing since 2016. Also, its beta is a measly 0.56 and it trades at 14.16x. Safe. Read: Risk tolerance and safety for our full analysis.
This is a very defensive and high quality investment. Half of the business is selling data so it has recurring revenues. It also has listing fees and with a rebound in the stock market these could increase. Good value compared to competitors and earnings growth should be in the double digits for the next few years. Also a great dividend payer and has raised dividends every year since 2016. Buy 2 Hold 5 Sell 0
(Analysts’ price target is $153.57)
Barry Schwartz
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Market volatility helped trading volume. Integration of recent acquisitions continue. Balance sheet improved. Actvely pursuing M&A opportunities. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research Business model provides market ‘hedge’. Gaining market share via acquisitions. Increased dividend by 8%. Attractive valuation compared to history. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Growth is expected to slow down to 5-7% in the next three years. Margins could see some pressure from higher operating costs and higher amortisation. It benefits regardless of sentiment change or interest rates hikes. Still attractive overall at 17x earnings. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Stockchase Insights
Barry Schwartz
Barry Schwartz'%20fill='%23ffffff'%3e%3cg%20id='Pager'%20transform='translate(423.000000,%201755.000000)'%3e%3cpath%20d='M243.295367,17.286474%20C243.68919,16.9045087%20244.327703,16.9045087%20244.721525,17.286474%20L249,21.4361302%20L253.278475,17.286474%20C253.672297,16.9045087%20254.31081,16.9045087%20254.704633,17.286474%20C255.098456,17.6684393%20255.098456,18.2877274%20254.704633,18.6696927%20L249.35654,23.856763%20C249.159628,24.0477457%20248.840372,24.0477457%20248.64346,23.856763%20L243.295367,18.6696927%20C242.901544,18.2877274%20242.901544,17.6684393%20243.295367,17.286474%20Z'%20id='Path'%20transform='translate(249.000000,%2020.500000)%20scale(-1,%201)%20rotate(-90.000000)%20translate(-249.000000,%20-20.500000)%20'%3e%3c/path%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
'%20fill='%23ffffff'%3e%3cg%20id='Pager'%20transform='translate(423.000000,%201755.000000)'%3e%3cpath%20d='M243.295367,17.286474%20C243.68919,16.9045087%20244.327703,16.9045087%20244.721525,17.286474%20L249,21.4361302%20L253.278475,17.286474%20C253.672297,16.9045087%20254.31081,16.9045087%20254.704633,17.286474%20C255.098456,17.6684393%20255.098456,18.2877274%20254.704633,18.6696927%20L249.35654,23.856763%20C249.159628,24.0477457%20248.840372,24.0477457%20248.64346,23.856763%20L243.295367,18.6696927%20C242.901544,18.2877274%20242.901544,17.6684393%20243.295367,17.286474%20Z'%20id='Path'%20transform='translate(249.000000,%2020.500000)%20rotate(-90.000000)%20translate(-249.000000,%20-20.500000)%20'%3e%3c/path%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
Sideways trading range for 2 years. "The longer the base, the more time in space." Breaking out to new highs, looking really positive. Yield is 2.44%.