Stockchase Opinions

Keith Richards TMX Group X-T WATCH Aug 27, 2025

Slogan for good stock candidates:  "The longer the base, the better the case." This chart had a big base for several years. Then it broke out, and look what happened. You can see this over and over again in stocks. 

Moved into an uptrend, arced off aggressively. Now pulling back from being overbought, will likely retrace to somewhere near the trendline which is probably somewhere near the 200-day MA (don't expect it to hit exactly). Not a disaster at all. On the chart from Feb-April of this year, those previous buyers may sell if it breaks that level of ~$51-52. Keep an eye on that.

$54.410

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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Analysts have not loved this stock for a while, yet it keeps creeping up.

Great company, especially in the context of Canada. He has a few questions about its capital allocation as it's moving into the US, goals seem a little ambitious. Quality firm, generates a lot of cash. Don't chase; valuation is mean reverting.

Keep it on your watchlist. Pick away as the valuation comes down.

HOLD

Rising with the market. Pop in July. We've had a correction, but it's important that it hasn't corrected back to where it broke out at $38.50. At this point, it's just a correction within an uptrend. On RSI, nicely in the upper half, doing pretty well.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

We continue to like TMX group. They should continue to benefit in an uptrending market and from a valuation persepctive, given the stability and steady growth, we don't view the 23X P/E as particularly 'challenging'. If a bit more deal activity comes back in the New Year, TMX should see an extra tailwind as well. For entry price, we think something in the range of low to mid-40's here makes sense.
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BUY

One of his largest positions. Very well run. Likes that it got into owning and selling proprietary data for ETFs and the energy industry. Phenomenal business model. Double-digit grower. Valuation quite reasonable. No plans to sell.

BUY

One of his top 10 positions. All of the exchanges are trading well. Volumes are strong. Has held up during recent weakness. Trading better than 92% of companies in the S&P over the last 12 months. Nice steady earnings growth ahead of it, nice dividend growth.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Consistently does well. You might want to wait for it to pop down. Decent one to buy now and hold for 5-6 years.

BUY

Fingers in a lot of stock-exchange pies. Companies pay to keep stocks listed. Fees from trading activity, which has been fast and furious. Options market has been even more frenetic. Also has sticky recurring revenue businesses, which are less cyclical. In his dividend growers mandate. Globally diversified.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A wonderful performer in recent years. Not just the TSX, but they have businesses around the world like trading platforms and economic data/analytics, based on subscriptions, so lots of recurring revenues. Their results may move a little due to trading volumes and new listings, but TMX is so diversified that enjoy recurring high margins. The stock has been on a tear, and not cheap now. One of the best companies in Canada.

Unspecified

He likes the sector but it is not really a small cap now so he doesn't own it. It created a lot of value with their strategies and carved out out some very unique assets. He feels the value is a bit stretched. He owns Euronet which trades in France