TSE:WCP

Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO)

18.13
-0.17 (0.93%)
as of Sep 22, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

WCP has a book value yield of 104.9% and an earnings yield of 12.8%, both good, while it pays a 7.8% dividend yield based on a decent 53.65% payout ratio, and trades at a low 6.88x PE. Compare that to CNQ's 15.33x and Suncor's 11.6x. The street likes the deal, giving WCP an average price target of $13.36, or 42% higher, based on six buys and one hold. Obviously, the street gives the merger a thumbs up, with three analysts assigning an average price target of $13.00, including one upgrade.

WEAK BUY
WCP & VRN

Merger could be really accretive, better together. Nice dividend. Scale could really help them both. He hasn't yet seen the terms of the deal.

BUY

He likes the WCP-Veren deal. Both were already decent companies, but together will enjoy synergy from cost savings. It will become the 4th-largest light oil producer in Canada. Management knows what it's doing, valuation good. Bigger companies here tend to enjoy a multiple increase. Veren shareholder will receive the WCP dividend, a big increase for them. The combined company will do pretty well.

BUY

Top mid-cap name, high dividend yield, aggressive product growth. Ramping up production, which will offer strong FCF. But capital spending is rising as a result. Scores 10/10 on value, 8/10 on fundamentals. Analysts seeing potential upside of 47%. Healthy dividend of ~8%.

COMMENT
With the merger, good time to get in?

M&A activity is not his sweet spot. When Eric Nuttall's on next, ask him; he can unlock the growth story for you. Larry's much more of a trader.

BUY

Has looked at this for a long time. Started a new position due to selloff on the merger with VRN. Really likes Canadian oil & gas long term, tariffs notwithstanding. 

Fly in the ointment is our new prime minister, Mr. Carney, who continues to be anti-oil and -gas. Paradoxical to him, given Canada's absolutely superb endowment of oil & gas resources and related technology. Perplexing that political leadership of Canada doesn't understand the energy patch business case when we have lots to sell to lots of willing partners.

WATCH

Here, he can look at support on the chart and know that it's real because we know about tariffs and the merger with VRN. He needs a bounce off support; if it doesn't bounce, and goes below support, then you have a problem and don't want to own. If it does bounce, then you have a target of between $11-12.

Concerns about tariffs are already built into the price, and that's why it's down.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Owns shares personally. Excellent company with very strong management team. Very good assets with safe dividend. Capital discipline within the sector has been very strong. 

BUY

Loves these energy names at this point in the cycle. Yield of 7-8%.

DON'T BUY
WCP vs. TVE vs. VRN -- looking for best total return from capital appreciation plus dividends.

If you assume oil prices go up, and assume they all execute well, which is the buy right now? He likes the upfront dividend. VRN is cheapest on price and financial metrics. Production outlook posted a few days ago is quite positive.

Not sure if the easiest thesis is to buy energy right now with Trump trying to attack the price of oil. But within the group, VRN is a name that works pretty well.

BUY

A big fan of management. A top energy company in Canada. Unlike peers, this doesn't need much higher oil prices to maintain its financial heft or dividend. Lots of downside protection. Oil and gas is in seasonal strength now. Pays a good 6.9% dividend.

HOLD

Good management team has done a good job managing current assets. But assets are mainly light oil with a high decline rate, so they have to keep drilling to keep up. Prefers longer reserve life and lower decline rate. Excellent job with oil recovery. Dividend safe at current oil prices. Too risky for her clients, but if you're OK with that keep holding.

See her Top Picks.

(Analysts’ price target is $13.40)
HOLD

Pretty balanced between oil and natural gas. Really well run, paid down debt. Good opportunities to do tuck-in acquisitions in Western Canada. Because of new pipeline that's come on, benefited from narrowing of WTI-WCS spread. Production grows ~5% a year. More torque than the bigger players. Very nice 7% yield.

BUY

Good, diversified portfolio of light-oil properties, which are always in demand. Great positions in Alberta and elsewhere. Fairly good last quarter. Well managed, consistent. Good dividend, with a good chance that it can expand. Fairly inexpensive relative to some others.

HOLD
Bought 9 years ago around $14.

Pretty healthy yield of 6.9%, which is why most investors own it. Good exposure to economic wells in the Duvernay. You need a catalyst for investors to see your company in a different light. Daring to dream that oil gets to $80 in a year and a bit, share price should be ~$15.25.

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