
TSE:TRP
There is a good probability that this company may keep the dividend where it is at. He has reduced his position. Likes the company and likes the pipelines. The bigger concern is that we are in an environment where pension funds are going to have to Sell. Because of that he would rather be high in cash, waiting for these to come down, and then go back in.
With the pullback we have seen, particularly in this company, he would seriously be looking at buying this. A lot of their revenue is fairly consistent. Currently paying a 4.8% dividend yield, which is quite competitive in today’s market. They still have projects beyond KXL that could expand their base of revenue.
3-5 year Hold for an RESP? The pipes have all set back in sympathy with the energy complex. With the yield and a purchase here, it is trading at a higher multiple than where they used to trade historically. You can put this in as a longer-term investment, but don’t expect the kind of returns you saw in the last 5 years.
They were impacted by higher payout ratios from US companies (all painted with the same brush). It has come off, but he prefers ENB-T because it is more involved in liquids, whereas TRP-T is gassier. If their big projects happen, TRP-T could go up 20%. However he prefers going with best in class (ENB-T).
Technials are not looking that good as it is in a downtrend, and underperforming the market. It is trending down and momentum indicators don’t look good. It is normally seasonally strong from end of Jan until May. Technicals do not support the trade right now. Look at it at the end of January for bottoming and forming a base.
Prefers to ENB-T even if the latter was the glamour kid. He likes stocks that are slightly less favoured. TRP-T are building pipelines in Mexico. 8-10% dividend growth out to 2020. They bought some Nat. gas powered power plants recently. 4.8% dividend. Buy Canada even though you partially diversify outside of it.
Prefers Enbridge (ENB-T). Hadn’t expected Keystone was going to be approved. Feels there is more visibility in Enbridge’s growth profile going forward. Their projects are in place and secured by long-term contracts and the dividend and earnings growth will be greater. If crude stays at these depressed levels for a long period of time, there is no doubt that in the next 3-4 years growth will slow for all pipelines.