Chief Executive Officer & Portfolio Manager at Smead Capital Management
Member since: Feb '24 · 13 Opinions
Believes S&P 500 at risk of under performing in the next few quarters. Equities as a % of household financial assets is at a very high level. This metric indicates lower periods ahead for financial markets. Valuations overall - are very high right now. Canada presenting investment opportunities because assets are under valued (energy & lumber). Believes commodities will do very well going forward. Negative correlation between common stocks and commodities is negative - presenting opportunity to buy commodities.
Not being rewarded for M&A activity. Management promises of re-rating on stocks is not trusted by the markets. Believes company will gain higher valuation if focuses on prudent capital allocation (share buybacks etc.) Would advise investors to ignore over reactions of market (both negatively and positively).
Heavy oil company with very long reserve life index. Likes strategy of management. Producing very high cash flows. No cash taxes. Worried about acquisition target, but would require a premium to share price. Strong CEO with excellent track record.