
TSE:TD
He is not anticipating the Canadian retail network doing all that well. We are seeing more muted growth across the board. They have a fantastic operation and have built up a great US operation. You want to be patient with this one. You could probably buy this 8-10% cheaper this summer. Prefers Wells Fargo in the US.
What are the principal metrics we should pay attention to, when comparing this bank with its peers among the Canadian banks? PE ratio is one thing. Dividend yield is another. He likes to look at Return on Assets as well. Usually for these banks, that number is paltry. If it’s plus .5, you are excited. One metric that Warren Buffett uses is ROA (return on assets). One of Warren’s top holdings has one of the highest ROA’s at about 1.3.
Looking at all the Cdn banks right now, they all have that long, lovely, slow upward sweeps. Not only upward sweep in price, but also in Book Value. That will tend to carry on until the end of the market, whenever that is. At that point however, the nice benign behaviour stops and they take on tremendous volatility and they tend to fall very, very rapidly. This is currently probably in the 60th percentile off the bottom. Definitely up but not widely expensive right now.
Looking for 8%-10% growth this year which seems to be the norm. If you believe the US economy will continue to grind higher, 26% of their revenues come from the US. One of the more healthier dividend growth names in the banking sector. Expects dividends to grow by approximately 10% per year. 3.5% dividend yield.
TD has it all. The winner of all the banks. Better earnings growth, better ability to protect loans and better US operations.