Stock price when the opinion was issued
Price targets give an illusion of precision that doesn't really exist, so his firm doesn't do them. If they own a stock, safe to say their target is "higher".
Likes personal and commercial business in Canada. US trouble is behind them, though they'll need to earn their way out of the regulatory doghouse. And they will. Investor Day on September 29 should shed light on medium-term strategy. Expects they can hit their aspirational 7+% EPS growth.
Took partial profits about 2 months ago, after massive re-rating.
The question asked the guest to compare the two with a view to buying one of them. She prefers Royal Bank right now. It just delivered record results and is growing at 10% year over year. TD has gone through a rough patch and is re-structuring which is eating into profits. She doesn't think Royal Bank will split.
The Canadian bank charts look similar. TD has seen a nice bounce since April, despite being the bank with the most problems and cannot grow in the US. A rising tide lifts all boats/banks. He got rid of it to buy BMO, which is a much-better run bank, maybe a little too soon. He is bullish Canadian banks, overall as the economy picks up. The bargain price for TD is over, but it will take time to return to its premium valuation. Prefers Royal and National banks.
Look at beginning of 2022 on the chart -- stock recently broke through that level. So you'll get some new buyers and less resistance. Historically, financials have some pretty big upside this time of year. If you own, no reason to sell. If you're overweight, look to trim (perhaps in December).
Lots of concern for banks, but the market doesn't seem to see it. Follow the market and don't overthink it too much.
Looking at all the Cdn banks right now, they all have that long, lovely, slow upward sweeps. Not only upward sweep in price, but also in Book Value. That will tend to carry on until the end of the market, whenever that is. At that point however, the nice benign behaviour stops and they take on tremendous volatility and they tend to fall very, very rapidly. This is currently probably in the 60th percentile off the bottom. Definitely up but not widely expensive right now.