
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown strong performance in recent months, recovering well from past regulatory issues related to money laundering. However, experts express concern over the current high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which exceeds historical averages. Many analysts suggest that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers and is overvalued by about 5-16%. There are mixed opinions on the future growth potential, with some emphasizing that growth opportunities in the US remain limited due to regulatory restrictions. Most experts recommend trimming positions and waiting for a better entry point, indicating cautious optimism about long-term prospects amidst current overvaluation and market dynamics.
Loan growth is slowing in Canada. You can only bring interest rates so low to attract loans. TD is 65% exposed to Canada and others are about 80+%. 12 times earnings is about norm. This is probably the one to provide the most dividend growth in the coming years. But he is shifting from Canadian banks to insurance or to US banks.
We have seen a strong bank reporting cycle and TD was no exception. Canadian retail did very well. Insurance did well. Aeroplan started to contribute. 3.5% yield. Not his favourite, however. Although they expanded rapidly in the US he is not sure return on capital is that high there. Owns RY-T, BNS-T and CM-T.
For banks it is really price to earnings as the metric for value. TD is at premier valuation and is a premier bank as well. All banks have slower mortgage growth and so growth will require more capital. This is a premier franchise that did a fantastic job of entering the US market. It is a good bank, but see his Top Picks today.
One of his core holdings. Canadian banks are stocks that you buy and you hold forever. Trading at around 12.5X this year’s earnings. Before 2008, they typically traded between 12 and 13.5 times earnings. Any time it gets down to 12 times, you Buy. Banks are due for a bit of a breather and he would probably wait until the fall.
This is one of his core bank stocks. Stock has had a little bounce here. You can sit back and wait. The market will probably drift upwards, but he feels there will be some sort of correction in the next 2 to 3 months, so you can wait for a pull back, maybe to the $51 range This is one he would recommend for anybody’s portfolio.
(A Top Pick June 27/13. Up 36.68%.) Thinks they continue to execute incredibly well. Made some very strong acquisitions that will not only help them in Canada, but also in the US.