
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 61 opinions in the last 12 months.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has garnered mixed reviews from experts, reflecting a combination of concerns and optimism surrounding its recent performance and future outlook. The bank has rebounded from past issues, including a money-laundering scandal, showing strong earnings with growth primarily driven by its Canadian operations. However, many analysts caution that TD's stock is currently trading at historically high price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, suggesting the potential for overvaluation, and recommend trimming positions or waiting for better buying opportunities. Concerns about growth limitations in the US and the overall banking sector’s high valuations contribute to a cautious stance, despite the solid growth trajectory seen in earnings and dividends. Overall, while TD remains a strong player in Canadian banking, adjustments to holdings appear prudent for many investors at this stage.
All-time high today. There have been a lot of people that have lost a lot of money trying to Call the top and Short the banks. These are diversified businesses that just keep churning out profits. The resiliency of these businesses is incredible. Certainly we are going to see slowing in loan growth, but today we saw that wealth management did well. Doesn’t think there will be a lot of growth, but you have low single digit growth and low single digit dividends.
This has a medium-term EPS growth target of 7%-10%. Until long-term interest rates go up, they’ll have a tough time meeting the 7% although he thinks they will do it through good cost control. When interest rates ultimately go up, it could exceed that 10% level. Because they had a lower dividend payout ratio than the others, he thinks their dividends will grow faster than earnings as they have now raised it to the 40%-50% range, the same as other banks. A good way of playing economic recovery in the US Northeast.
He is not anticipating the Canadian retail network doing all that well. We are seeing more muted growth across the board. They have a fantastic operation and have built up a great US operation. You want to be patient with this one. You could probably buy this 8-10% cheaper this summer. Prefers Wells Fargo in the US.
What are the principal metrics we should pay attention to, when comparing this bank with its peers among the Canadian banks? PE ratio is one thing. Dividend yield is another. He likes to look at Return on Assets as well. Usually for these banks, that number is paltry. If it’s plus .5, you are excited. One metric that Warren Buffett uses is ROA (return on assets). One of Warren’s top holdings has one of the highest ROA’s at about 1.3.
(Market Call Minute.) New 52-week high. As with the other Canadian banks, you should buy and hold as it will give you decent earnings and dividend growth.