TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

158.03
+1.79 (1.15%)
as of Jun 4, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2224 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown a robust recovery following its money laundering scandal, yielding strong returns this year, with some reports indicating a rise as high as 72%. Despite this positive momentum, many analysts believe the stock is currently overvalued, trading at higher-than-normal P/E ratios—around 14 to 16 times—and above historical averages for Canadian banks. Experts express caution, suggesting trimming positions or waiting for a market pullback before initiating new purchases. The bank’s U.S. operations remain under regulatory scrutiny, limiting growth potential, which adds to the complex outlook for TD. While many hold on to their shares for long-term growth, there is a consensus on the need for careful evaluation of entry points due to high valuations.

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Consensus
Overvalued
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Valuation
Overvalued
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 08/18, Up 4%) The stock hasn't done anything in the past year, but the dividend pays a solid 4% that continues to grow. It trades at less than 11x forward earnings, below historical averages. Canadian housing is slowing, but it won't crash. Valuations reflect these concerns, so you can buy TD at these levels.
BUY
He'd buy it tomorrow. Really well run. Trading at 11x earnings. Great franchise down south. Weakness is capital markets exposure in the States, so they may acquire a US investment bank. Yield of 4%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 16/18, Up 3%) Dividends are important. Their businesses have been doing well, and earnings are up 12%, though the stock price has been flat. His return comes from the dividend. They actually incurred a loss in their last quarterly report, which was surprising, but he expects a good report later this month. You can sleep well owning this long-term.
HOLD
It hit a nice bottom recently around $68. It has nice upside potential and a decent dividend. Management quality is great and leads the way in customer satisfaction. They seem to be able to avoid tough issues.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 03/18, Up 9%) Q1 they missed on housing and fears of cycle ending. But on the last quarter they bumped their dividend by 10% and their capital ratios are the best. Canadian Banks are OK. This is best of breed of the Canadian banks.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 10/17, Up 8%) Also a top pick today. Earnings grew 10% in the past year but the share price has been flat, so the PE has gone down. Looking ahead, earnings will be higher in 10 years, so current levels are at a good price.
TOP PICK
They have the least amount of exposure to credit among its peers. It no longer trades at a big premium. It pays the lowest dividend of the big 5 banks, but they have the biggest dividend-growth prospects. 10 years out, you'll be happy you bought this. Buy now, hold and compound dividends. (Analysts’ price target is $81.46)
HOLD
Owned it as a place holder at the bottom. Probably under-performing YTD. Probably related to what is happening with the interest rates and the yield curve. The Canadian Banks are always exposed to this short stories that come from the US. He doesn't think that the Canadian banks have great upside from here but also he doesn't think they have great downside. He thinks it is kind of dead money. He owns Royal Bank (RY-T) and Scotia Bank (BNS-T).
BUY
Add to a position? Loves it, but he just took some profits. The banks do better when rates rise and the housing market is improving. Neither is the case. The banks will sit in this range for a while. He also holds BNS for its yield and they operate in Latin America, which he likes.
BUY
After missing its first quarter, can TD still meet its 2019 target of $83? A big, long holding for him. TD is truly a North American bank, dependent on both economies. Doesn't know if TD will hit $83 this year, but if they don't, he's not worried.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
They made a really big shift after the financial crisis, at growing their US franchise which they have been very successful at. Those that have established US businesses leave you more diversified. TD has a yield of just under 4% and he would like to continue to own it.
BUY
He'd buy it now. A core holding. The 4% yield is safe and grows yearly like clockwork. It grows around 7% a year. Great governance. The fearful talk about loan losses is hogwash--ignore it.
BUY
You are not getting hurt, you are not going to do great. You are going to get your dividend and a slow grind upwards.
COMMENT
Canadian consumer debt close to an all-time high. Haven't seen the big housing downturn. Mortgages are huge business for them. If we see sustained housing decline, it will have a negative impact. Would take something major for any Canadian bank to take a hit to earnings. A major bank has never decreased its dividend, and you're not going to see it anytime soon.
HOLD
Historically it has been the best performing. They will have issues going forward in auto loans. Not a lot exposed to investment banking.
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