TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

170.90
+1.61 (0.95%)
as of Jun 25, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2225 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 25, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 61 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has seen a significant recovery from its recent challenges, notably the money laundering scandal, with many experts noting its potential for growth in the long term, especially within the Canadian economy. However, the consensus among analysts indicates that the stock is currently trading at historically high P/E ratios, raising concerns about its valuation and suggesting that it may be overvalued by approximately 5% or more compared to past norms. While some believe TD's impressive earnings growth and its strategic positioning in the U.S. market could still lead to positive outcomes, there are warnings about the high valuations and the possibility of a market correction. Analysts seem divided on whether to hold or to trim positions at this point, with a predominant view favoring a cautious approach. Overall, TD remains a strong brand within the Canadian banking sector, but its recent performance raises questions about future growth sustainability amid high valuations.

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Consensus
Overvalued
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Valuation
Overvalued
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Similar
BMO
TOP PICK
You get good dividend growth with Canadian banks -- growing 10% per year -- even with rising interest rates. He thinks there is a good tail wind still in place. He likes their US business exposure. Yield 3.6% (Analysts’ price target is $82.93)
TOP PICK
Likes it because it's half US. Still relatively cheap. Earnings growth of 5%, dividend of roughly 4%, gives you a return of 9%. If you get a valuation bump, you could get a possible 12-15% return on this. Not counting on it, but it's possible. Yield is 3.63%. (Analysts’ price target is $82.93)
DON'T BUY
Canadian Banks have recovered. They have a strong US operations. They benefited from the strong US dollar that is not going to persist forever. Canadian banks are more expensive than banks elsewhere. They deserve a premium but not by this degree. And the Canadian economy is showing signs of weakness.
BUY
He loves Canadian banks and TD is his largest holding. Buy one bank and hold onto it for dear life. Forget constant worries about mortgages, housing, etc. The banks keep putting the puck in the net. He expects 8-10% earnings growth and dividend increases this year by them.
WATCH
It is the 9th or 10th largest bank in the US. They are more retail focused in the US. They have a stake in Ameritrade. Earnings coming up should be fairly robust.
TOP PICK
Steady and the best bank in Canada. Yet, it's drastically underperformed peers lately, but should trade at a decent premium to those peers. Dividend growth (with the lowest payout ratio in this sector) is 8%. Their retail franchise will stabilize the dividend and help earnings. Earnings growth last year were double-digits. Any good news will make this stock rally just like in 2016. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 14/17, Up 0.4%) His favourite Canadian bank because of its huge investment in the States, which disappointed for a while but has recently picked up.
TOP PICK
His favourite Canadian bank. It held in for a long time during the sell-off, then got hit. TD has great US assets that have and will continue to pay off. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
TOP PICK
Canadian Banks didn't do well in 2018. But the multiple contracted dramatically trading below 10x earnings now. Valuation is very attractive. Yield of 3.9%. Good growth in the US. They are still 70% retail. Capital markets (that tends to be more volatile) is only 8% of their revenues. They are deposit based. They can grow their earnings by 6-7% this year. Banks have a target payout ratio of 40 to 50% of earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Core part of his portfolio. Weak housing in Canada is a risk. Though lower house prices affect the mortgage books of banks, and this will be a headwind, TD isn't a one-trick pony. Good commercial loan book, plus significant business in US in commercial and personal banking. Also nice wealth management business, which is going gangbusters. Below 10x earnings. Buy the dips on Canadian banks.
BUY
His favourite Canadian bank (he owns two). It's basically 50% a US bank. Good retail. Costs are under control. Under 10x earnings, the first time in a long time it's been this cheap. Pays a good dividend. The only worry is if mortgage rates rise too quickly though it's unlikely.
BUY
Buy this or U.S. banks? Likes it for its U.S. expsoure. He prefers MS over TD (he owns both). He'd buy it here. Canadian banks are profit machines. A core holding.
BUY
He's long owned this and likes it. It's big in the U.S. Stick with it. He's not worried. TD increased their dividend by 9% this year and likely 8% next.
BUY
It is a portfolio anchor. They consistently raise the dividend. They have first mover advantage in terms of going into the US. They were quite successful. He invests 20% in financials. The dividends are safe. There has been a pull back in TD-T. Longer term you will do fine with this name. Don't be enthusiastic about over-weighting the name just because it pulled back. There will be volatility in the short term. There are other Canadian banks with higher yields.
BUY
Will this correction in Canadian banks continue? They've all been down 5-10% this year. TD just reported strongly with earnings up 13% YOY. TD was questioned about energy and residential loans. The former are well-contained, and mortgage growth is in the single-digits. TD is attractively valued; all the Canadian banks are below historic price-to-earnings or -book. In 2019, she expects all the Canadian banks to catch-up to these metrics. All have increased their dividends. TD has a 45% payout ratio. This year, the banks have been reflecting a lot of bad news, but next year she expects them to catch up. She'd buy TD now.
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