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TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

167.84
+1.97 (1.19%)
as of Aug 27, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2222 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconAug 27, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 52 opinions in the last 12 months.

Experts share a mixed outlook on Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), noting its recent recovery from a money-laundering scandal and strong performance in capital markets and wealth management. However, many express concerns about the stock's current valuation, which they deem high compared to historical averages. While TD has benefited from a favorable economic environment and regulatory support, several experts recommend trimming positions to capture profits or reallocating into more undervalued opportunities. Despite some strong earnings announcements indicating solid fundamentals, there is caution about the growth potential due to ongoing compliance issues and the impact of interest rates on the Canadian economy. Overall, TD is viewed as a resilient player in the Canadian banking sector, yet the optimism is tempered by valuation concerns.

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Consensus
Cautious
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Valuation
Overvalued
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RY
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 21/18, Down 1%) The banks suffered late last year. He is happy with this result considering what the banks did. It is at a key resistance level right now. The chart looks fantastic. However earnings reporting season is just flipping coins for technical analysts. You should always be just market weight before an earnings report.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 23/18, Up 7%) For Q4 ROE was 16.9% earnings up 20%. Capital ratios very high. Trades at a modest premium but still very cheap 10.1 times 2020 earnings. If you have it you can still add here.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 13/18, Up 9%) TD still looks attractively valued with metrics trading below 10 year averages. She expects another 9-10% increase in the dividend and the payout ratio remains around 50%.
COMMENT
Since December, it's been in seasonality (until March 1). All the Canadian financials rise until the earnings reports at end-February. TD's 200-day moving average is flatlining, and maybe forming lower lows. He's not excited by this.
TOP PICK
You get good dividend growth with Canadian banks -- growing 10% per year -- even with rising interest rates. He thinks there is a good tail wind still in place. He likes their US business exposure. Yield 3.6% (Analysts’ price target is $82.93)
TOP PICK
Likes it because it's half US. Still relatively cheap. Earnings growth of 5%, dividend of roughly 4%, gives you a return of 9%. If you get a valuation bump, you could get a possible 12-15% return on this. Not counting on it, but it's possible. Yield is 3.63%. (Analysts’ price target is $82.93)
DON'T BUY
Canadian Banks have recovered. They have a strong US operations. They benefited from the strong US dollar that is not going to persist forever. Canadian banks are more expensive than banks elsewhere. They deserve a premium but not by this degree. And the Canadian economy is showing signs of weakness.
BUY
He loves Canadian banks and TD is his largest holding. Buy one bank and hold onto it for dear life. Forget constant worries about mortgages, housing, etc. The banks keep putting the puck in the net. He expects 8-10% earnings growth and dividend increases this year by them.
WATCH
It is the 9th or 10th largest bank in the US. They are more retail focused in the US. They have a stake in Ameritrade. Earnings coming up should be fairly robust.
TOP PICK
Steady and the best bank in Canada. Yet, it's drastically underperformed peers lately, but should trade at a decent premium to those peers. Dividend growth (with the lowest payout ratio in this sector) is 8%. Their retail franchise will stabilize the dividend and help earnings. Earnings growth last year were double-digits. Any good news will make this stock rally just like in 2016. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 14/17, Up 0.4%) His favourite Canadian bank because of its huge investment in the States, which disappointed for a while but has recently picked up.
TOP PICK
His favourite Canadian bank. It held in for a long time during the sell-off, then got hit. TD has great US assets that have and will continue to pay off. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
TOP PICK
Canadian Banks didn't do well in 2018. But the multiple contracted dramatically trading below 10x earnings now. Valuation is very attractive. Yield of 3.9%. Good growth in the US. They are still 70% retail. Capital markets (that tends to be more volatile) is only 8% of their revenues. They are deposit based. They can grow their earnings by 6-7% this year. Banks have a target payout ratio of 40 to 50% of earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $83.93)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Core part of his portfolio. Weak housing in Canada is a risk. Though lower house prices affect the mortgage books of banks, and this will be a headwind, TD isn't a one-trick pony. Good commercial loan book, plus significant business in US in commercial and personal banking. Also nice wealth management business, which is going gangbusters. Below 10x earnings. Buy the dips on Canadian banks.
BUY
His favourite Canadian bank (he owns two). It's basically 50% a US bank. Good retail. Costs are under control. Under 10x earnings, the first time in a long time it's been this cheap. Pays a good dividend. The only worry is if mortgage rates rise too quickly though it's unlikely.
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