
TSE:SU
There is no way to know where the oil price will go in a couple of years. It is hard to invest in this area. It is a high cost producer with the majority of assets tied up in the tar sands so when oil sells off it gets hit more. But he likes their integrated structure with the upstream and downstream. He just doesn’t see a lot of upside here. He would like to see it a lot lower before adding to it.
Baytex Energy (BTE-T) or Suncor (SU-T)? Certainly 2 very different names. Baytex gives you an 8% yield while you don’t get that with this. For yield hunters, Baytex is one that he would look at. He actually likes and owns both names, and they are both fine. You are probably getting a little bit more leverage in terms of the movement in oil price relative to the stock price with Baytex, where this one might be a little bit steadier being in the oil Sands space.
Canada’s largest integrated oil/gas company. With energy being hit the way it has, this is a really good opportunity to step in. We are going to see some cash flow estimates come down, but nonetheless, this company should be earning around $5 or $5 plus cash flow over the next couple of years. A very inexpensive stock. You are getting the benefit of both the upstream and the downstream operations. Dividend yield of 2.99%.
Solid management and a very good allocator of capital. Expects there will be dividend increases over time. The beauty with oil sands projects and oil sands operators is that once they spend capital to get a project going, there is very little decline and very little maintenance capital to be spent. You will see this company building more projects and expanding, but there will be a significant amount of cash flow being returned to shareholders in the form of dividends.
He waited 3 years after the Petro Canada acquisition to see if they could digest it. This now a fantastic investment in the energy space. Thinks it is a stock he can own for a long time. It is throwing off free cash flow for the first time.