
TSE:SU
This summary was created by AI, based on 16 opinions in the last 12 months.
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU-T) has garnered predominantly positive reviews from various experts, highlighting its successful corporate turnaround and solid performance in the challenging oil sands sector. Many emphasize its potential for significant free cash flow, particularly given the long-life reserves it possesses. While there is some caution regarding the oil price's volatility and future market conditions, the general sentiment leans towards a strong long-term outlook, especially if oil prices stabilize or increase. Some analysts compare SU favorably against peers like Cenovus Energy (CVE) and Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ), suggesting that both diversification and share buybacks enhance SU's investment case. Despite a few calls for caution, notably regarding management and current valuation metrics, SU is viewed as a staple in Canadian energy investments, making it a go-to choice for dividend-seeking investors.
(A large cap stock and the only large caps he would own in his portfolio are Crescent Point (CPG-T) and Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ-T).) He can see the investment merits for this company. It is an integrated model, so you are getting the downstream in addition to the upstream. A very large free cash flow generator. Expects the free cash flow next year is probably in the order of $2-$3 billion. The company can either pursue share repurchases or increase the dividend. Expects an increase in the dividend will be 10%-15% next year. Valuation is quite reasonable.
Suncor (SU-T) or Crescent Point (CPG-T)? Two totally different stocks. We might still see oil production pushing down here a little bit, but that will take a little while for it to roll through. He looks at this from a seasonal perspective. If the oil sector really starts to ramp up here, you are going to get more bang for your buck out of Crescent Point. Because the energy sector is out of its seasonal period, he would be going with a more defensive oil play, which is Suncor.
There is no way to know where the oil price will go in a couple of years. It is hard to invest in this area. It is a high cost producer with the majority of assets tied up in the tar sands so when oil sells off it gets hit more. But he likes their integrated structure with the upstream and downstream. He just doesn’t see a lot of upside here. He would like to see it a lot lower before adding to it.
Baytex Energy (BTE-T) or Suncor (SU-T)? Certainly 2 very different names. Baytex gives you an 8% yield while you don’t get that with this. For yield hunters, Baytex is one that he would look at. He actually likes and owns both names, and they are both fine. You are probably getting a little bit more leverage in terms of the movement in oil price relative to the stock price with Baytex, where this one might be a little bit steadier being in the oil Sands space.
Prefers Whitecap Resources (WCP-T), which is hedged at around $98, and half of 2015 production is hedged well into the high $90. You have exposure on this if the oil price keeps dropping. Great balance sheet, cash flow and long reserve life, but it wouldn't be his 1st choice.