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Shopify Inc.SHOP.TOHOLDFeb 06, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
Has never owned. 200-day MA just started to roll over, and that's not positive. Price now below 200-day MA. It's always been pricey (9x forward price-to-sales). Tech and general market have been up, but this name's down 4.3% over 12 months. Catering to small-middle businesses makes it riskier vis-a-vis the economy.
If you're already in it, watch to see if it breaks recent lows of support. So many other names out there with much better valuations.
Still some runway. Tarred with the software brush. A proud Canadian all-star. Buy in 3 tranches: here, ~$105, and ~$100 (that would indicate it's getting to the bottom). If you own now, add on weakness as outlined.
Note: Not in his fund, but in some separately managed accounts.
Right here, right now is a good entry point for a long-term hold. Part of the AI witch-hunt trade. Competitive moat won't be eroded by agentic AI. People don't understand that writing code is not "one and done", not to mention cybersecurity concerns and complex payment systems.
Increasingly catering to larger customers. Continues to innovate and to add value to legacy markets.
Strong financial results and a positive forecast would certainly be beneficial. SHOP had been underperforming leading up to this week, though without any specific catalyst. News related to Anthropic AI affected the stock earlier in the week, but they believe the market reaction was disproportionate. There haven't been any adverse company developments, and several brokerage firms have issued supportive commentary over the last week and a half. The stock rose alongside broader markets on Friday before pulling back, though they wouldn't place too much weight on a single day's performance. Even so, its 32% year-to-date decline appears excessive considering analysts' projections and the company's prospects. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free