TSE:RY

Royal Bank (RY.TO)

285.07
-0.56 (0.20%)
as of Sep 28, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
1480 watching
0
TOP PICK
The big five banks have had their weakest year in terms of earnings since 2016. It is weakening of the credit environment, net contraction of interest margins, especially in the US. The capital markets business has been weak for the banks also. RY-T has an opportunity to come back, if banks do, in a greater way than the others. (Analysts’ price target is $111.31)
BUY
Banks are typically sold off this time of year, regardless of earnings reports. Dec.16-March 25 is RY's seasonality. Moving averages are still moving higher. $103 is a key level.
COMMENT

Will it ever split? Splitting is not a big factor for him. Over the years, the banks tend to split above $100. There's long been talk of CIBC splitting, but they haven't. He'd rather look at the company fundamentals. RY reports tomorrow.

BUY

RY vs. TD He owns more TD, like its American footprint and are getting out of online brokerages which has shrinking margins, so that was a good deal. Both are solid, but we'll see what their earnings are like. RY has 12x forward earnings, while the S&P is 17x--this means a safe margin.

COMMENT
A very well-run bank, trading at a reasonable valuation. He finds it a little rich. They haven’t made any real progress in two years. Wealth management business is under pressure of fee-compression. Mortgage growth in Canada has to slow down, and banks and government are in agreement. Loan portfolios will grow slower. It comes down to cost-efficiency and growth elsewhere in the world. He likes TD more or a US bank.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 04/18, Up 16%) There's a report RY will dip into cryptocurrencies. Well-managed and diverse businesses and geographies. Pays a growing dividend at 7%. Expect consistent low-double digit returns going forward.
HOLD
He owns this and has for quite some time. It is more sensitive to market moves as it has a large presence in the financial capital market space. So if you are bullish the market it will do better than the other Canadian banks.
COMMENT
Will they continue to outperform their peers? Every cycle sees the laggard become the leader and then vice versa. The Canadian banks are all about the same in long term returns. CM is the smaller of the Big 5 banks. RY has been consistently the largest bank, however. CM-T does have the highest current dividend yield.
BUY

His favorite Canadian bank is RY. However both RY and BMO are investing in technology, which should allow them to continue growing dividends. No problem buying BMO or RY here.

HOLD
He expects a little bump up in the dividend again. The Canadian banks have started to benefit again from a flood into value investing. They do well with technology development as well. A good hold.
STRONG BUY
He owns 3 Canadian banks including this. Look at their business mixes to decide which to buy. A diverse mix is good. RY is at a reasonable valuation now. They will likely be part of the Saudi Aramco distribution. Pays around a 3.9% yield. Great to buy in today's environment.
WEAK BUY

For the long term? Canadian banks are good to hold long-term. RY and TD are his picks in this sector, but it'll be a tougher environment with interest rates staying low in the coming years. He prefers Morgan Stanley because of its growth in wealth management. But banking overall will be tougher to make money for the next 5 years. But you own bank stocks for the dividend and will grow slowly in the coming decade.

BUY

Take profits now at $107? Canadian banks are a great space. RY pays nearly 4% and are well-capitalized. Great ROE. Low rates does pressure the banks, but RY has asset management and investment banking, too. Long-term, the banks enjoy a monopoly and will make money. True, there are bumpy periods like now. He also owns TD.

HOLD
It is highly diversified with capital markets and branching out into the US. They will keep raising the dividend and you can expect a high single-digit total return each year.
COMMENT

Canadian banks have gotten very cheap now. CIBC has a US presence but it’s mainly in Canada. RBC has more resources with a global presence. He thinks that banks are still a good place to be. Would be buying Royal Bank and TD.

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