
TSE:RY
RY vs TD? These are almost apples to apples. He thinks RY is the bluest of blue chip bank stocks. Both are good quality and both could drop another 5-8% lower from here. He would recommend that you could buy half of your position here.
RY vs TD vs SLF? He owns both of the banks and he prefers this space over the insurance sector. RY has a stronger approach on the wealth management side, whereas TD focuses on retail customers and has a larger presence in the US. Right now he would favour TD. Canadian banks of been held back as of late because of a unwarranted fear about the housing market in Canada. Dividends with the banks are great too.
RY still gained 10% last year despite a sluggish year for Canadian banks. Not bad. They're well positioned in the US (23% of their revenues). Trades at 11x forward PE, a discount from their 10-year average. JPM trades at a higher multiple than RY. RY's earnings growth will be 5%, based on slow, moderate Canadian growth (though she doesn't see a Canadian recession). RY will continue to raise its dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $111.25)
CDN Bank shares or ETF? As a porfolio manager, he prefers to use his expertise to pick individual stocks. An ETF gives you the group and no ability to outperform. Canadian banks are favorable over US counterparts he thinks, including the higher yield. He likes BNS and RY. He does not hold much in TD at the moment. He holds about 20% of his portfolio in banks.
He's still bullish the Canadian banks, though capital appreciation will be tougher based on a weaker earnings outlook. Consumers have borrowed enough with net interest margins tightening. The banks are still good for income investors. RY pays a 4% yield and trades at an 11x PE, and pays a 2-3% earnings growth. Total return over 3-5 years he guesses around 68%. good dividend. Growth is slow, but he sees the banks as inexpensive utilities. BNS, then TD and RY offer the best value.