
NASDAQ:NFLX
Challenged of late because of concerns about spending to acquire WBD and is that worthwhile? Long-term aspects of the deal indicate that NFLX will be such a big content and media provider that it can beat out all competition.
Subscriber base continues to grow. Despite capex spend, still sees ~20% earnings growth going forward. Trades ~24x forward PE, not expensive. Likes it, but market's pummeling it. Approaching support levels. If you don't own, add slowly and see where it goes.
Fallen below 200-day MA, which is starting to turn -- a bit concerning.
Once again, a name that's shooting out terrific results. Yet the market's focused on one thing -- is it going to get WBD? No one knows. All he knows is that it reported 13% revenue growth last quarter, and guided for near 20% profit growth going forward. Adding new programming all the time and new subscribers. Pricing power.
Not worried about how much $$ to be spent if it gets WBD, because they'd be paying a pauper's price for an amazing quality business with some of the best IP. At 20x PE for one of the world's best companies, you'd be silly not to buy it here. No dividend.
No company has pivoted more successfully than Netflix. Are pivoting now, wanting to buy Warner Bros. for its content--he's not sure about it. The organic business is still growing, but the big question is what will happen to Warners? If they buy it at full price, it will give them great content, but not growth. At 30x PE, it's a full multiple.
Dominant business. Starting a really nice ad business, which has very high margins. The all-cash offer for WBD will drain a lot from the balance sheet. How is it going to pay for the potential acquisition? How will that affect earnings and cashflow? A takeover will also take time to work through.
Doesn't own, but starting to look at it. Waiting for dust to settle on valuation and acquisition synergies -- at least 1-2 years.
Big battle right now is focused on content. Earnings came out a bit weaker because subscriber growth has started to slow down. Lots of competition out there. Growth will come not only from movies, but also from live events such as sports. Stock's down 8% YTD, but still trades at a hefty valuation ~33x PE.
He'd certainly wait to see if it can sustain earnings growth, as that's the challenge.
His team has been circling this one. Valuation of 24x PE much more attractive and reasonable now. Topline growing 12-13%. Go-to streaming offering. Continues to joust for the WBD asset -- it wants just the streaming business, whereas Paramount wants the whole thing. Trump's weighed in (as he does on everything), so it's going to come under regulatory scrutiny for a long time, and that will be an overhang.
Looking good at these levels. Great execution. Likes the underlying fundamentals.