NASDAQ:NFLX

Netflix Inc. (NFLX)

64.54
+1.28 (2.02%)
as of Nov 11, 2026, 9:00:00 pm Market Closed.
541 watching
0
SELL

He sold 85% of his holding, though he really likes it. This will be a political football for the coming year after announcing it is buying Warner Bros. Discovery. While this deal works its way through the meat grinder, there are better things he can do with his money. There's a big anti-trust contingent in both parties in Washington.

BUY

He thinks it's a great deal, though it's unlikely Washington will approved it. Also, we'll see a hostile bid from Paramount. It's amazing to take Paramount's established franchises to another level. Will buy. If the deal dies, NFLX stock goes higher. He could write covered calls on this given more volatility to come.

PARTIAL BUY

King of the heap, global streaming leader. His 12-month price target is $134.50. Likes it, but it's not cheap. He suggests buying some here ~$104 (PE is ~mid-40s), and some more in the mid-$90s. Market outlook is good. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has owned it before. Is the definite leader. Are two strong drivers: cracking down on password sharers, and rolling out the ad tier. Also, they offer live events like WWE. Trades at 40-45x earnings on 15% revenue growth. Not cheap, but are best in class. Would buy below $90.

HOLD

Is -20% since late June, but still 21% higher over one year. Be patient. Is no fundamental deterioration. The stock may have run up too much and is now consolidating.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 07/24, Up 45%)

Getting 25+% earnings growth, paying ~35x forward PE -- not a bad PEG ratio. Now getting more into live events, which is driving more engagement and subscriber growth. Revenue goes to boost content, particularly local content, especially in regions where it's pushing to expand. Clear leader, continues to impress.

BUY

They understand how to make movies and TV shows and what people want. Also likes that NFLX is a subscription business.

WAIT
Reports tomorrow.

Best to look at both the 3-year and 1-year charts. Parabolic move off the trendline, now pulling back and basing, and that's OK. His team never buys the day before earnings, because you can get nasty shocks. But generally with NFLX, you don't. Looks constructive so far.

Either wait for it to break out of its current consolidation, or buy right at the bottom of the trading range it's in.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 07/24, Up 54%)

40x forward PE, but you get 25+% earnings growth forecast. Lifted by great global hits plus regional content. The screaming winner in the space.

BUY

Technicals show a retracement back to the April low and aligns with consolidation in early May before it broke out. So, now is the time to buy.

BUY

Up 30% this year, hitting on all cylinders. Trades defensively. The consumer is strong and ads are doing well. 

BUY

Momentum will continue. It's come back from recent lows.

TOP PICK

Leader in the streaming market. Content library continues to grow, with local content in different countries, and that's supporting rapid international growth. Revenue for fiscal 2026 expected to exceed $50B USD, driven by global expansion. Ad-supported tier has been very successful, as has password-sharing crackdown. Strong financial performance, with revenues accelerating and margins expanding. 

40x forward PE, but 27-30% expected growth rate. Tech company, but great valuation. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $1349.49)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

They just reported. They grew revenues by 16%, slightly beating, revenue growth is driven by higher subscription prices, and operating margins beat slightly. Blockbuster releases included season 2 of Squid Games and the new Tyler Perry movie. They also gave great guidance for this quarter. But expectations were sky high, and audience engagement as up only 1% this year, disappointing the street, which thought future growth could slow. They sold off, because shares came into the quarter too hot. The conference call outlined exciting growth to come, including use of AI they just started to use in content. Remains best of breed in streaming.

COMMENT
Earnings beat, raised guidance, stock falls.

Did everything right, yet down today ~4%. Expectations have been set very high for the traditional growthy and earnings momentum names. If everybody owns the stock, what's your next move? Someone out there didn't like what they saw and hit the sell button, and then it's just investor psychology at work.

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