
TSE:MG
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
Magna International (MG-T) has had a tumultuous journey, with heavy investments in electric vehicles (EVs) in 2021 not yielding the expected demand, resulting in significant challenges and the impact of tariffs. However, the company has managed to address its issues with Chinese OEMs and is currently experiencing a notable market share increase in smart door handles and driverless systems. Recent financial results have surprised analysts positively, indicating a strong recovery, although concerns over the continuity of this momentum exist due to potential headwinds from the CUSMA agreement. The auto supply chain’s complexities suggest that investors should assess the cyclical nature of the industry carefully while considering ownership of the stock, especially as it could face further volatility tied to economic conditions and tariff discussions.
Has a tough time buying the “peak auto” theory. A lot of parts manufacturers are able to grow regardless of how many cars they make in the US. This has come off quite a bit and valuations are compelling. Believes the economic data is at least going to muddle along. Sees nothing but upside in these names going forward.
This is a play on having no recession on the horizon and that we are still not at peak auto. Trading lower than its five-year average. Have a very under levered balance sheet. Expects a lot of dividend growth and share buyback. Sees earnings per share growing at around 15% annually over the next couple of years. Dividend yield of 2.37%, which he expects will grow at 6%. They benefit from a softening US$.
Sold his holdings a little over a year ago. His primary concern is that we are getting towards the end of the auto cycle. Sub prime auto loans of about $27 US billion last year, had delinquencies near a 20-year high at around 5%, indicating people are having a harder time meeting some of their obligations.
How strong is the average US consumer going to be over the next few years. Non performing auto loans are starting to become questionable. Auto loans are the new housing sector in the US where a lot of people really can’t afford their cars. The risks in the auto sector in the US are really too high. MG-T will be the one to own after the trend changes and the bottom is in. There is another down leg coming to the auto sector.
Probably one of the biggest car parts Company in the world. A “go to” name for people who want to bet on the car sales. There are still a lot of old cars rolling around in North America, so car sales should do okay. If you are willing to bet on increased car sales in an OK economy, this is a good name to be in.
One of the biggest auto parts supplier in the world. In the last few years, new management consolidated their position in North America and Europe. Recently did an acquisition to get exposure in China, which is probably why the stock has been hit, as well a view that this is the peak in the auto cycle. That view is premature, although in a couple of years that might well be the case. Very cheap trading at 5-5.5 times EBITDA. Dividend yield of 2.55%.
(Market Call Minute) Model price of $87.55, a 64% upside. But the market does not really believe it. Until he sees a really good bottom he won’t be back in.