Lightspeed Commerce IncLSPD.TORISKYJan 20, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
Former darling, now struggling in a hyper-competitive space. Management changes mean morale's not great. Chart doesn't show much reason to be optimistic. Lots of rumours, nothing's come to fruition. Never want to be too early on a big turnaround; need to see a few quarters of positive momentum.
Cheap, but that's not always a good reason to invest.
When he called it, the stock was -80% from its peak and trading at a cheap 2x sales. They were looking for potential buyers. Altogether, the stock held promise. The stock rallied to the mid-$20s, but no buyer emerged and reported a few tough quarters. He owns it again when it fell lower. Is generating free cash flow. Something could happen. He will give it a couple of quarters.
Bought recently on weakness. Tried for corporate restructuring, but nothing's happened. Focusing on a higher-end but smaller customer base, which is taking time to implement. Tech company trading at 2x revenue, starting to generate operating cashflow. Cheap valuation, buying back a ton of stock. Worth at least a trade.
We think LSPD remains a sell. We have some previous comments posted, but it has had enough 'chances' and was also unable to sell the company.
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Lowered outlook, analyst downgrades. Trying to focus on NA retail and European hospitality. The question is whether you want to catch this falling knife? You could buy a small position here, but he'd prefer writing a put, obliging yourself to own it ~$10 and get paid a nice premium.
He still models 21% EPS growth, trading ~20x.
Long-term base of support around $16-17, and seems stuck there. Just bounced off resistance. At this point, it's only a trend if there are higher highs and higher lows (or lower highs and lower lows). Until it starts one of those 2 patterns, it's in consolidation. Not showing any signs of a real trend.
The only thing you can do with a stock that's consolidating is to swing-trade it.
LSPD-T vs. SHOP-T vs. SQ-N. He owned SHOP-T and then sold it and it was a mistake. None of the three companies meet his criteria. They have rapidly growing top line but the bottom line is not where it should be. LSPD-T bought another company recently and the stock price reacted favorably. We don't know enough about their bottom lines to be comfortable with them. These are fairly aggressive positions, especially at these levels. These would not be large allocations but if you wanted a little punt and accepted the volatility then these would probably be okay. SHOP-T would be the leader of the three.