Jerome Hass Lightspeed Commerce Inc LSPD-T DON'T BUY Feb 21, 2025

Long-term base of support around $16-17, and seems stuck there. Just bounced off resistance. At this point, it's only a trend if there are higher highs and higher lows (or lower highs and lower lows). Until it starts one of those 2 patterns, it's in consolidation. Not showing any signs of a real trend.

The only thing you can do with a stock that's consolidating is to swing-trade it.

He never owned this, never liking their growth-at-any-cost strategy and sacrificing margins. POS is a very competitive market with little difference between companies.

They bought good companies, but they used their expensive stock to close those deals. But then shares took a hit and they lost that power. They tried to sell, but couldn't find a buyer. Then, they issued poor guidance. Brutal. They went get their past super-high multiple.

Lowered outlook, analyst downgrades. Trying to focus on NA retail and European hospitality. The question is whether you want to catch this falling knife? You could buy a small position here, but he'd prefer writing a put, obliging yourself to own it ~$10 and get paid a nice premium.

He still models 21% EPS growth, trading ~20x. 

We think LSPD remains a sell. We have some previous comments posted, but it has had enough 'chances' and was also unable to sell the company. 
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Management has reestablished its credibility; still some work to do, and that's why they didn't want to sell. Very robust platform. Owns in some of his separately managed accounts, though not in his fund; means it's less investable and more of a trade. Products and services are top-notch.

A growth stock in tech, so it is twice as volatile as most stocks. More speculative than most, though not expensive right now. It made a low recently around $7, so it's move up a lot since then. Too risky for him. But if it re-test the recent low and holds, that's a better entry point.

Bought recently on weakness. Tried for corporate restructuring, but nothing's happened. Focusing on a higher-end but smaller customer base, which is taking time to implement. Tech company trading at 2x revenue, starting to generate operating cashflow. Cheap valuation, buying back a ton of stock. Worth at least a trade.

When he called it, the stock was -80% from its peak and trading at a cheap 2x sales. They were looking for potential buyers. Altogether, the stock held promise. The stock rallied to the mid-$20s, but no buyer emerged and reported a few tough quarters. He owns it again when it fell lower. Is generating free cash flow. Something could happen. He will give it a couple of quarters.