
NYSE:JPM
A play on the US economy, consumer. Get about 80% of their business comes from the US. Well positioned to grow business as the economy is recovering. Going forward, they’re going to grow market share. They’ll benefit from tax reform, they have the cash and the technology. Yield is about 2%. They should be in a position to raise the dividend or repurchase stock with the review at the end of June. At 12-13x forward earnings, it’s attractive. (Analysts’ price target is $ 121.36)
The American consumer is releveraging, which is positive for the banks. Their net interest margin should go up with rising interest rates. They are spending significantly on technology, which will allow them to grow at a far lower cost than expanding their bricks and mortar. They will spend less to capture more customers. Additionally, regulation on US banks is coming off a bit, which will help their profits. They are trading at cheap multiples compared to other financial service companies. (Analysts’ price target is $121.52)
He likes a couple of ETFs. KRE-N is regional banks and has broken out already. While revenues go up revenues should increase for banks but the profit margin is worse if the yield curve is flattening. There is a momentum trade on US banks right now, however. The yield curve could flatten further later this year.
JP Morgan (JPM-N) vs Bank of America (BAC-N) – He holds both of these companies. JP Morgan (JPM-N) is a preferred holding for him as its earnings are less volatile of the two. Bank of America (BAC-N) is second on his list, which carries a large amount of “free balances” (client deposits they pay no interest on), which is very interest rate sensitive.
The best-run bank in the world. If you believe in the U.S. economy, this stock will ride it. Rising interest rates are a tailwind. Earnings are growing rapidly, faster than Canadian banks. The stock has pulled back, so it's a great opportunity. (Analysts' price target: $120.17)